Recent polls ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election project PSOE-A winning 28-32 seats in the 109-seat parliament under proportional representation, positioning the 30-32 outcome as trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability. A late-April CIS survey estimates 25.8% vote share for 27-34 seats (around 31), corroborated by a Barómetro Andaluz poll at 24.7% yielding 31 seats, amid stable trends over the past week showing PSOE-A's support holding near 2022 levels despite incumbent PP's strengthening toward absolute majority (53-57 seats) and left fragmentation between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. No major catalysts in the last 48 hours, with campaign focus on key battlegrounds and postal voting deadlines approaching.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30-32 45%
27-29 27%
21-23 25%
24-26 17%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
<21
9%
21-23
25%
24-26
17%
27-29
27%
30-32
45%
33+
31%
30-32 45%
27-29 27%
21-23 25%
24-26 17%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
<21
$175 Vol.
9%
21-23
$43 Vol.
25%
24-26
$112 Vol.
17%
27-29
$45 Vol.
27%
30-32
$43 Vol.
45%
33+
$400 Vol.
31%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election project PSOE-A winning 28-32 seats in the 109-seat parliament under proportional representation, positioning the 30-32 outcome as trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability. A late-April CIS survey estimates 25.8% vote share for 27-34 seats (around 31), corroborated by a Barómetro Andaluz poll at 24.7% yielding 31 seats, amid stable trends over the past week showing PSOE-A's support holding near 2022 levels despite incumbent PP's strengthening toward absolute majority (53-57 seats) and left fragmentation between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. No major catalysts in the last 48 hours, with campaign focus on key battlegrounds and postal voting deadlines approaching.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Volume
$819End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election project PSOE-A winning 28-32 seats in the 109-seat parliament under proportional representation, positioning the 30-32 outcome as trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability. A late-April CIS survey estimates 25.8% vote share for 27-34 seats (around 31), corroborated by a Barómetro Andaluz poll at 24.7% yielding 31 seats, amid stable trends over the past week showing PSOE-A's support holding near 2022 levels despite incumbent PP's strengthening toward absolute majority (53-57 seats) and left fragmentation between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. No major catalysts in the last 48 hours, with campaign focus on key battlegrounds and postal voting deadlines approaching.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volume
$819End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election project PSOE-A winning 28-32 seats in the 109-seat parliament under proportional representation, positioning the 30-32 outcome as trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability. A late-April CIS survey estimates 25.8% vote share for 27-34 seats (around 31), corroborated by a Barómetro Andaluz poll at 24.7% yielding 31 seats, amid stable trends over the past week showing PSOE-A's support holding near 2022 levels despite incumbent PP's strengthening toward absolute majority (53-57 seats) and left fragmentation between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. No major catalysts in the last 48 hours, with campaign focus on key battlegrounds and postal voting deadlines approaching.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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