Oklahoma's strong Republican partisan lean and voting history continue to anchor trader sentiment in this open-seat contest, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the race as solid or safe Republican. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Trump administration, and appointed interim senator Alan Armstrong is not seeking a full term; Republican primary polling shows Kevin Hern as the clear frontrunner ahead of the June 16 vote. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet no polling or fundraising data indicates a path to victory in the general election on November 3. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected Republican primary upset, a major scandal, or an unusually large turnout swing favoring Democrats in this heavily red state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
92%
Demócrata
7%
$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,923 Vol.
92%
Demócrata
$5,669 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican partisan lean and voting history continue to anchor trader sentiment in this open-seat contest, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the race as solid or safe Republican. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Trump administration, and appointed interim senator Alan Armstrong is not seeking a full term; Republican primary polling shows Kevin Hern as the clear frontrunner ahead of the June 16 vote. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet no polling or fundraising data indicates a path to victory in the general election on November 3. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected Republican primary upset, a major scandal, or an unusually large turnout swing favoring Democrats in this heavily red state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$14,591Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican partisan lean and voting history continue to anchor trader sentiment in this open-seat contest, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the race as solid or safe Republican. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Trump administration, and appointed interim senator Alan Armstrong is not seeking a full term; Republican primary polling shows Kevin Hern as the clear frontrunner ahead of the June 16 vote. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet no polling or fundraising data indicates a path to victory in the general election on November 3. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected Republican primary upset, a major scandal, or an unusually large turnout swing favoring Democrats in this heavily red state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$14,591Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's strong Republican partisan lean and voting history continue to anchor trader sentiment in this open-seat contest, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the race as solid or safe Republican. The seat opened after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Trump administration, and appointed interim senator Alan Armstrong is not seeking a full term; Republican primary polling shows Kevin Hern as the clear frontrunner ahead of the June 16 vote. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their primary, yet no polling or fundraising data indicates a path to victory in the general election on November 3. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected Republican primary upset, a major scandal, or an unusually large turnout swing favoring Democrats in this heavily red state.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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