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Politics·Primaries

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

Dan Cox 59%

Ed Hale 31.0%

John Myrick 2.8%

Larry Hogan 2.1%

Polymarket

$544,291 Vol.

Dan Cox 59%

Ed Hale 31.0%

John Myrick 2.8%

Larry Hogan 2.1%

Polymarket

$544,291 Vol.

Dan Cox

$94,748 Vol.

59%

Ed Hale

$13,996 Vol.

31%

John Myrick

$3,860 Vol.

3%

Larry Hogan

$47,542 Vol.

2%

Steve Hershey

$345,409 Vol.

2%

Carl Brunner

$1,135 Vol.

1%

Kurt Wedekind

$1,193 Vol.

1%

Christopher Bouchat

$36,408 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary market positions Dan Cox as the frontrunner at 58.5% implied probability for the June 23 contest, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee, appeal to the party base, and recent social media momentum criticizing incumbent Democratic Gov. Wes Moore's approval ratings and tax policies. Ed Hale trails at 31.2%, supported by his Baltimore business background and fiscal conservative platform, though his 2025 switch from Democrat draws skepticism among primary voters. Both leading candidates skipped early debates, including a second event last week hosted by the Republican Women's Club, signaling confidence amid a fragmented field. No recent polls have emerged, leaving prediction market pricing as the primary gauge ahead of a potential third debate on May 20 and early voting in June.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$544,291
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary market positions Dan Cox as the frontrunner at 58.5% implied probability for the June 23 contest, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee, appeal to the party base, and recent social media momentum criticizing incumbent Democratic Gov. Wes Moore's approval ratings and tax policies. Ed Hale trails at 31.2%, supported by his Baltimore business background and fiscal conservative platform, though his 2025 switch from Democrat draws skepticism among primary voters. Both leading candidates skipped early debates, including a second event last week hosted by the Republican Women's Club, signaling confidence amid a fragmented field. No recent polls have emerged, leaving prediction market pricing as the primary gauge ahead of a potential third debate on May 20 and early voting in June.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$544,291
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Cox" at 59%, followed by "Ed Hale" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $544.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Dan Cox" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed Hale" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.