Latest Environment Canada forecasts indicate a high near 14°C for Toronto on May 10 under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, aligning with The Weather Network's 12–14°C outlook amid a cool early-May pattern featuring highs in the low teens over the past week. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 14–16°C (implied probabilities 16.5–21.5%) due to ensemble forecast variability from models like GFS and ECMWF, where subtle differences in upper-level ridging and frontal timing could yield 1–2°C swings via warmer air advection or increased solar heating if clouds thin. This reflects springtime uncertainty in Great Lakes weather, against a climatological May 10 average high of about 15°C; watch for afternoon updates from official agencies as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on May 10?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 10?
14°C 34%
13°C 22%
15°C 14%
12°C 10.4%
NEW
$16,189 Vol.
NEW
$16,189 Vol.
May 10, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
10%
13°C
22%
14°C
34%
15°C
14%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 34%
13°C 22%
15°C 14%
12°C 10.4%
NEW
$16,189 Vol.
NEW
$16,189 Vol.
May 10, 2026
9°C or below
$2,864 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,614 Vol.
1%
11°C
$2,209 Vol.
4%
12°C
$1,872 Vol.
10%
13°C
$1,023 Vol.
22%
14°C
$591 Vol.
34%
15°C
$1,145 Vol.
14%
16°C
$1,042 Vol.
6%
17°C
$1,053 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,162 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$1,654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Environment Canada forecasts indicate a high near 14°C for Toronto on May 10 under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, aligning with The Weather Network's 12–14°C outlook amid a cool early-May pattern featuring highs in the low teens over the past week. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 14–16°C (implied probabilities 16.5–21.5%) due to ensemble forecast variability from models like GFS and ECMWF, where subtle differences in upper-level ridging and frontal timing could yield 1–2°C swings via warmer air advection or increased solar heating if clouds thin. This reflects springtime uncertainty in Great Lakes weather, against a climatological May 10 average high of about 15°C; watch for afternoon updates from official agencies as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$16,189End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Environment Canada forecasts indicate a high near 14°C for Toronto on May 10 under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, aligning with The Weather Network's 12–14°C outlook amid a cool early-May pattern featuring highs in the low teens over the past week. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 14–16°C (implied probabilities 16.5–21.5%) due to ensemble forecast variability from models like GFS and ECMWF, where subtle differences in upper-level ridging and frontal timing could yield 1–2°C swings via warmer air advection or increased solar heating if clouds thin. This reflects springtime uncertainty in Great Lakes weather, against a climatological May 10 average high of about 15°C; watch for afternoon updates from official agencies as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,189End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Environment Canada forecasts indicate a high near 14°C for Toronto on May 10 under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, aligning with The Weather Network's 12–14°C outlook amid a cool early-May pattern featuring highs in the low teens over the past week. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 14–16°C (implied probabilities 16.5–21.5%) due to ensemble forecast variability from models like GFS and ECMWF, where subtle differences in upper-level ridging and frontal timing could yield 1–2°C swings via warmer air advection or increased solar heating if clouds thin. This reflects springtime uncertainty in Great Lakes weather, against a climatological May 10 average high of about 15°C; watch for afternoon updates from official agencies as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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