JMA short-range guidance for Tokyo on June 16 points to a partly cloudy day with a daytime maximum near 27°C, placing both 26°C and 27°C as near-even market leaders at 35.5% and 32%. Persistent influence from the Baiu frontal zone brings variable cloud cover that limits insolation and caps peak heating, while sea breezes and elevated humidity further moderate temperatures around the seasonal normal of 26°C. Ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF runs centers on 26–27°C, with minor differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings top out at one value or the other; later model updates or JMA nowcasts will likely tighten this range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 36%
27°C 32%
25°C 16%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
32%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 32%
25°C 16%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$753 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,219 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,054 Vol.
1%
24°C
$799 Vol.
5%
25°C
$407 Vol.
16%
26°C
$398 Vol.
36%
27°C
$328 Vol.
32%
28°C
$497 Vol.
10%
29°C
$183 Vol.
2%
30°C
$124 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$909 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.JMA short-range guidance for Tokyo on June 16 points to a partly cloudy day with a daytime maximum near 27°C, placing both 26°C and 27°C as near-even market leaders at 35.5% and 32%. Persistent influence from the Baiu frontal zone brings variable cloud cover that limits insolation and caps peak heating, while sea breezes and elevated humidity further moderate temperatures around the seasonal normal of 26°C. Ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF runs centers on 26–27°C, with minor differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings top out at one value or the other; later model updates or JMA nowcasts will likely tighten this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,643End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.JMA short-range guidance for Tokyo on June 16 points to a partly cloudy day with a daytime maximum near 27°C, placing both 26°C and 27°C as near-even market leaders at 35.5% and 32%. Persistent influence from the Baiu frontal zone brings variable cloud cover that limits insolation and caps peak heating, while sea breezes and elevated humidity further moderate temperatures around the seasonal normal of 26°C. Ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF runs centers on 26–27°C, with minor differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings top out at one value or the other; later model updates or JMA nowcasts will likely tighten this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,643End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...JMA short-range guidance for Tokyo on June 16 points to a partly cloudy day with a daytime maximum near 27°C, placing both 26°C and 27°C as near-even market leaders at 35.5% and 32%. Persistent influence from the Baiu frontal zone brings variable cloud cover that limits insolation and caps peak heating, while sea breezes and elevated humidity further moderate temperatures around the seasonal normal of 26°C. Ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF runs centers on 26–27°C, with minor differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing determining whether readings top out at one value or the other; later model updates or JMA nowcasts will likely tighten this range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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