Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and others points to a moderated heat event in the Puget Sound region, with Seattle likely seeing highs in the low-to-mid 70s on June 16 amid lingering marine influence and partial cloud cover despite an active heat advisory. This uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, onshore flow strength, and exact ridge positioning explains the tight clustering around the 72–77 °F bins. Historical June averages near 70–74 °F and recent cooler verification temper enthusiasm for the lower-probability 80 °F+ outcomes, while traders monitor the next NWS update for shifts in forecast confidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on June 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 16?
74-75°F 26%
76-77°F 23%
78-79°F 15.2%
72-73°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 26%
76-77°F 23%
78-79°F 15.2%
72-73°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
69°F or below
$74 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$17 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$22 Vol.
13%
74-75°F
$77 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$254 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$447 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$90 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$143 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$35 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$441 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$1,373 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and others points to a moderated heat event in the Puget Sound region, with Seattle likely seeing highs in the low-to-mid 70s on June 16 amid lingering marine influence and partial cloud cover despite an active heat advisory. This uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, onshore flow strength, and exact ridge positioning explains the tight clustering around the 72–77 °F bins. Historical June averages near 70–74 °F and recent cooler verification temper enthusiasm for the lower-probability 80 °F+ outcomes, while traders monitor the next NWS update for shifts in forecast confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,751End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and others points to a moderated heat event in the Puget Sound region, with Seattle likely seeing highs in the low-to-mid 70s on June 16 amid lingering marine influence and partial cloud cover despite an active heat advisory. This uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, onshore flow strength, and exact ridge positioning explains the tight clustering around the 72–77 °F bins. Historical June averages near 70–74 °F and recent cooler verification temper enthusiasm for the lower-probability 80 °F+ outcomes, while traders monitor the next NWS update for shifts in forecast confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,751End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and others points to a moderated heat event in the Puget Sound region, with Seattle likely seeing highs in the low-to-mid 70s on June 16 amid lingering marine influence and partial cloud cover despite an active heat advisory. This uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, onshore flow strength, and exact ridge positioning explains the tight clustering around the 72–77 °F bins. Historical June averages near 70–74 °F and recent cooler verification temper enthusiasm for the lower-probability 80 °F+ outcomes, while traders monitor the next NWS update for shifts in forecast confidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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