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Highest temperature in Taipei on May 10?

icon for Highest temperature in Taipei on May 10?

Highest temperature in Taipei on May 10?

May 9

May 10

May 11

May 9

May 10

May 11

28°C 33%

29°C 25%

27°C 22%

26°C 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$15,704 Vol.

28°C 33%

29°C 25%

27°C 22%

26°C 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$15,704 Vol.

23°C or below

$2,071 Vol.

1%

24°C

$2,472 Vol.

1%

25°C

$1,854 Vol.

2%

26°C

$609 Vol.

14%

27°C

$279 Vol.

22%

28°C

$843 Vol.

33%

29°C

$614 Vol.

25%

30°C

$285 Vol.

7%

31°C

$826 Vol.

2%

32°C

$1,762 Vol.

2%

33°C or higher

$4,090 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C reflects the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei's May 10 high of up to 28°C under persistent cloudy skies, following cool recent days with May 8 at 24–27°C and May 9 at 21–23°C due to Meiyu-season showers and southerly moisture flows. Differentiating 28°C as the trader favorite are ensemble projections from ECMWF and GFS models indicating potential afternoon partial clearing to enhance diurnal heating and urban heat island amplification in the Taipei basin, versus 27°C if overcast suppresses solar insolation or late showers cool surface temperatures. Updated CWA observations and model runs expected overnight could shift the balance ahead of official station resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,704
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C reflects the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei's May 10 high of up to 28°C under persistent cloudy skies, following cool recent days with May 8 at 24–27°C and May 9 at 21–23°C due to Meiyu-season showers and southerly moisture flows. Differentiating 28°C as the trader favorite are ensemble projections from ECMWF and GFS models indicating potential afternoon partial clearing to enhance diurnal heating and urban heat island amplification in the Taipei basin, versus 27°C if overcast suppresses solar insolation or late showers cool surface temperatures. Updated CWA observations and model runs expected overnight could shift the balance ahead of official station resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,704
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Taipei on May 10?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 33%, followed by "29°C" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Taipei on May 10?" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Taipei on May 10?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Taipei on May 10?" is "28°C" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29°C" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Taipei on May 10?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.