NEA's fortnightly outlook for 1-15 May 2026 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33-35°C under inter-monsoon conditions with light variable winds and afternoon thundery showers over parts of Singapore, driving trader consensus toward 32°C (47.5% implied probability) and 33°C (32.5%). Recent observations, including today's high of 32.1°C so far amid ongoing showers, have tempered expectations below the upper forecast range, as convective cooling from sumatran squalls and localized rain suppresses peaks despite strong solar insolation and urban heat island effects. High humidity amplifies perceived heat, but shower timing remains key; NEA's daily updates and model consensus will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 10?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 10?
32°C 45%
33°C 26%
31°C 18%
30°C 5.6%
NEW
$37,135 Vol.
NEW
$37,135 Vol.
May 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
45%
33°C
26%
34°C or higher
4%
32°C 45%
33°C 26%
31°C 18%
30°C 5.6%
NEW
$37,135 Vol.
NEW
$37,135 Vol.
May 10, 2026
24°C or below
$1,748 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,039 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,817 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,245 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,570 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,881 Vol.
3%
30°C
$3,130 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2,841 Vol.
18%
32°C
$2,371 Vol.
45%
33°C
$5,164 Vol.
26%
34°C or higher
$5,338 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.NEA's fortnightly outlook for 1-15 May 2026 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33-35°C under inter-monsoon conditions with light variable winds and afternoon thundery showers over parts of Singapore, driving trader consensus toward 32°C (47.5% implied probability) and 33°C (32.5%). Recent observations, including today's high of 32.1°C so far amid ongoing showers, have tempered expectations below the upper forecast range, as convective cooling from sumatran squalls and localized rain suppresses peaks despite strong solar insolation and urban heat island effects. High humidity amplifies perceived heat, but shower timing remains key; NEA's daily updates and model consensus will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$37,135End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.NEA's fortnightly outlook for 1-15 May 2026 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33-35°C under inter-monsoon conditions with light variable winds and afternoon thundery showers over parts of Singapore, driving trader consensus toward 32°C (47.5% implied probability) and 33°C (32.5%). Recent observations, including today's high of 32.1°C so far amid ongoing showers, have tempered expectations below the upper forecast range, as convective cooling from sumatran squalls and localized rain suppresses peaks despite strong solar insolation and urban heat island effects. High humidity amplifies perceived heat, but shower timing remains key; NEA's daily updates and model consensus will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,135End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
NEA's fortnightly outlook for 1-15 May 2026 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33-35°C under inter-monsoon conditions with light variable winds and afternoon thundery showers over parts of Singapore, driving trader consensus toward 32°C (47.5% implied probability) and 33°C (32.5%). Recent observations, including today's high of 32.1°C so far amid ongoing showers, have tempered expectations below the upper forecast range, as convective cooling from sumatran squalls and localized rain suppresses peaks despite strong solar insolation and urban heat island effects. High humidity amplifies perceived heat, but shower timing remains key; NEA's daily updates and model consensus will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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