Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle point to a high near 66-70°F on May 10 under a return to onshore flow bringing marine stratus and partial cloud cover, capping temperatures after recent inland heat peaks near 80°F and driving trader consensus toward 66-67°F at 28% implied probability. This distribution reflects model uncertainty in stratus persistence—persistent low clouds from Puget Sound could limit peaks to 62-65°F via reduced insolation, while earlier burn-off and light northwesterly winds might allow 68-71°F; extremes like 72°F+ (1.5%) require unlikely full clearing akin to rare May heat events, below climatological norms of 65°F average highs. Ensemble guidance diverges on boundary layer mixing, with updates expected overnight from NOAA models resolving closer to observation time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on May 10?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 10?
64-65°F 24%
68-69°F 21%
66-67°F 20%
62-63°F 13%
NEW
$37,605 Vol.
NEW
$37,605 Vol.
May 10, 2026
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
6%
72°F or higher
2%
64-65°F 24%
68-69°F 21%
66-67°F 20%
62-63°F 13%
NEW
$37,605 Vol.
NEW
$37,605 Vol.
May 10, 2026
53°F or below
$2,897 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$2,243 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$2,163 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$1,954 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$5,183 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$2,945 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$1,842 Vol.
24%
66-67°F
$1,735 Vol.
20%
68-69°F
$2,348 Vol.
21%
70-71°F
$7,237 Vol.
6%
72°F or higher
$7,583 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle point to a high near 66-70°F on May 10 under a return to onshore flow bringing marine stratus and partial cloud cover, capping temperatures after recent inland heat peaks near 80°F and driving trader consensus toward 66-67°F at 28% implied probability. This distribution reflects model uncertainty in stratus persistence—persistent low clouds from Puget Sound could limit peaks to 62-65°F via reduced insolation, while earlier burn-off and light northwesterly winds might allow 68-71°F; extremes like 72°F+ (1.5%) require unlikely full clearing akin to rare May heat events, below climatological norms of 65°F average highs. Ensemble guidance diverges on boundary layer mixing, with updates expected overnight from NOAA models resolving closer to observation time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$37,605End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle point to a high near 66-70°F on May 10 under a return to onshore flow bringing marine stratus and partial cloud cover, capping temperatures after recent inland heat peaks near 80°F and driving trader consensus toward 66-67°F at 28% implied probability. This distribution reflects model uncertainty in stratus persistence—persistent low clouds from Puget Sound could limit peaks to 62-65°F via reduced insolation, while earlier burn-off and light northwesterly winds might allow 68-71°F; extremes like 72°F+ (1.5%) require unlikely full clearing akin to rare May heat events, below climatological norms of 65°F average highs. Ensemble guidance diverges on boundary layer mixing, with updates expected overnight from NOAA models resolving closer to observation time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,605End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle point to a high near 66-70°F on May 10 under a return to onshore flow bringing marine stratus and partial cloud cover, capping temperatures after recent inland heat peaks near 80°F and driving trader consensus toward 66-67°F at 28% implied probability. This distribution reflects model uncertainty in stratus persistence—persistent low clouds from Puget Sound could limit peaks to 62-65°F via reduced insolation, while earlier burn-off and light northwesterly winds might allow 68-71°F; extremes like 72°F+ (1.5%) require unlikely full clearing akin to rare May heat events, below climatological norms of 65°F average highs. Ensemble guidance diverges on boundary layer mixing, with updates expected overnight from NOAA models resolving closer to observation time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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