Recent forecast guidance from Meteo-France and ensemble models points to a warming trend under strengthening high pressure, with Paris expected to see mostly sunny skies and light winds favoring peak afternoon temperatures near 28–29 °C on June 16. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of southerly flow advecting warmer continental air; even modest increases in insolation or reduced mixing could push the daily maximum to 30 °C, while lingering morning stratus or slightly stronger breezes would cap it at 27 °C. Historical June averages near 23–24 °C provide context, but current synoptic patterns support the tight clustering around the upper 20s that traders have priced. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will clarify these variables ahead of the day’s maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
28°C 33%
29°C 32%
27°C 14.3%
30°C 13%
NEW
$10,664 Vol.
NEW
$10,664 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
33%
29°C
32%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 32%
27°C 14.3%
30°C 13%
NEW
$10,664 Vol.
NEW
$10,664 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
$255 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,013 Vol.
5%
27°C
$1,515 Vol.
14%
28°C
$1,154 Vol.
33%
29°C
$1,144 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,561 Vol.
13%
31°C
$1,595 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,026 Vol.
1%
33°C
$701 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$510 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Meteo-France and ensemble models points to a warming trend under strengthening high pressure, with Paris expected to see mostly sunny skies and light winds favoring peak afternoon temperatures near 28–29 °C on June 16. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of southerly flow advecting warmer continental air; even modest increases in insolation or reduced mixing could push the daily maximum to 30 °C, while lingering morning stratus or slightly stronger breezes would cap it at 27 °C. Historical June averages near 23–24 °C provide context, but current synoptic patterns support the tight clustering around the upper 20s that traders have priced. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will clarify these variables ahead of the day’s maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$10,664End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Meteo-France and ensemble models points to a warming trend under strengthening high pressure, with Paris expected to see mostly sunny skies and light winds favoring peak afternoon temperatures near 28–29 °C on June 16. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of southerly flow advecting warmer continental air; even modest increases in insolation or reduced mixing could push the daily maximum to 30 °C, while lingering morning stratus or slightly stronger breezes would cap it at 27 °C. Historical June averages near 23–24 °C provide context, but current synoptic patterns support the tight clustering around the upper 20s that traders have priced. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will clarify these variables ahead of the day’s maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,664End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Meteo-France and ensemble models points to a warming trend under strengthening high pressure, with Paris expected to see mostly sunny skies and light winds favoring peak afternoon temperatures near 28–29 °C on June 16. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of southerly flow advecting warmer continental air; even modest increases in insolation or reduced mixing could push the daily maximum to 30 °C, while lingering morning stratus or slightly stronger breezes would cap it at 27 °C. Historical June averages near 23–24 °C provide context, but current synoptic patterns support the tight clustering around the upper 20s that traders have priced. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will clarify these variables ahead of the day’s maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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