Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles, which cluster Los Angeles' May 10 high temperature in a 68-74°F range, pitting 68-69°F (38%) against 72°F or higher (35.5%) due to variable marine layer persistence. Yesterday's (May 8) observed high of 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport amid patchy coastal fog, followed by overnight lows near 60°F, signals a reforming stratus deck overnight, with low-level temperature inversion strength determining midday burn-off and peak heating potential. Stronger onshore flow could trap clouds and cap highs in the upper 60s, while enhanced boundary-layer mixing might allow 70s; normal May 10 highs hover around 69°F historically. Watch this afternoon's updated NWS guidance and 12z model runs for resolution shifts ahead of Sunday's measurement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
72°F or higher 38%
68-69°F 38%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 6.0%
$21,673 Vol.
$21,673 Vol.
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
23%
72°F or higher
38%
72°F or higher 38%
68-69°F 38%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 6.0%
$21,673 Vol.
$21,673 Vol.
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
23%
72°F or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles, which cluster Los Angeles' May 10 high temperature in a 68-74°F range, pitting 68-69°F (38%) against 72°F or higher (35.5%) due to variable marine layer persistence. Yesterday's (May 8) observed high of 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport amid patchy coastal fog, followed by overnight lows near 60°F, signals a reforming stratus deck overnight, with low-level temperature inversion strength determining midday burn-off and peak heating potential. Stronger onshore flow could trap clouds and cap highs in the upper 60s, while enhanced boundary-layer mixing might allow 70s; normal May 10 highs hover around 69°F historically. Watch this afternoon's updated NWS guidance and 12z model runs for resolution shifts ahead of Sunday's measurement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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