Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (45%) for London on May 10, driven by the UK Met Office's May 9 update forecasting a maximum of 15-16°C amid a cloudy start, possible light morning rain, and brisk northeasterly winds ushering cooler air masses. These conditions limit solar heating and enhance the chill factor, aligning with regional models showing strengthening easterlies from continental Europe, below the typical May average of 17°C. Brighter afternoon spells could nudge toward 16°C (25.5%), while persistent cloud risks 14°C (16%), reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data from Heathrow and central stations. Watch overnight model runs for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on May 10?
Highest temperature in London on May 10?
15°C 43%
16°C 26%
14°C 16%
17°C 11%
NEW
$52,423 Vol.
NEW
$52,423 Vol.
May 10, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
16%
15°C
43%
16°C
26%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 43%
16°C 26%
14°C 16%
17°C 11%
NEW
$52,423 Vol.
NEW
$52,423 Vol.
May 10, 2026
10°C or below
$5,724 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5,229 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,150 Vol.
1%
13°C
$7,210 Vol.
2%
14°C
$5,872 Vol.
16%
15°C
$5,077 Vol.
43%
16°C
$3,961 Vol.
26%
17°C
$4,257 Vol.
11%
18°C
$3,163 Vol.
2%
19°C
$4,179 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$4,778 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (45%) for London on May 10, driven by the UK Met Office's May 9 update forecasting a maximum of 15-16°C amid a cloudy start, possible light morning rain, and brisk northeasterly winds ushering cooler air masses. These conditions limit solar heating and enhance the chill factor, aligning with regional models showing strengthening easterlies from continental Europe, below the typical May average of 17°C. Brighter afternoon spells could nudge toward 16°C (25.5%), while persistent cloud risks 14°C (16%), reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data from Heathrow and central stations. Watch overnight model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$52,423End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (45%) for London on May 10, driven by the UK Met Office's May 9 update forecasting a maximum of 15-16°C amid a cloudy start, possible light morning rain, and brisk northeasterly winds ushering cooler air masses. These conditions limit solar heating and enhance the chill factor, aligning with regional models showing strengthening easterlies from continental Europe, below the typical May average of 17°C. Brighter afternoon spells could nudge toward 16°C (25.5%), while persistent cloud risks 14°C (16%), reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data from Heathrow and central stations. Watch overnight model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$52,423End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 15°C (45%) for London on May 10, driven by the UK Met Office's May 9 update forecasting a maximum of 15-16°C amid a cloudy start, possible light morning rain, and brisk northeasterly winds ushering cooler air masses. These conditions limit solar heating and enhance the chill factor, aligning with regional models showing strengthening easterlies from continental Europe, below the typical May average of 17°C. Brighter afternoon spells could nudge toward 16°C (25.5%), while persistent cloud risks 14°C (16%), reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data from Heathrow and central stations. Watch overnight model runs for refinements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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