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Highest temperature in Denver on May 10?

icon for Highest temperature in Denver on May 10?

Highest temperature in Denver on May 10?

May 10

May 11

May 10

May 11

68°F or higher 72%

66-67°F 21%

64-65°F 4.6%

62-63°F 1.6%

Polymarket
NEW

$26,058 Vol.

68°F or higher 72%

66-67°F 21%

64-65°F 4.6%

62-63°F 1.6%

Polymarket
NEW

$26,058 Vol.

49°F or below

$1,957 Vol.

<1%

50-51°F

$1,509 Vol.

<1%

52-53°F

$9,104 Vol.

<1%

54-55°F

$4,270 Vol.

<1%

56-57°F

$1,968 Vol.

<1%

58-59°F

$1,844 Vol.

<1%

60-61°F

$1,070 Vol.

<1%

62-63°F

$1,270 Vol.

2%

64-65°F

$1,080 Vol.

5%

66-67°F

$275 Vol.

21%

68°F or higher

$1,711 Vol.

72%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment favors 68°F or higher at 74% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 10, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a rebound from an early-May snowstorm that dumped 4-10 inches across the region, leaving monthly averages 2.7°F below normal. Recent model runs from NOAA ensembles show tight consensus around 68-72°F highs under clear skies, southwest winds of 7-14 mph, and an upper-level ridge promoting adiabatic warming at Buckley Space Force Base, the market's resolution station. The 21% odds on 66-67°F reflect residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms, with climatological May 10 norms near 69°F providing historical context. Watch the 4 p.m. MDT NWS Boulder update for refined guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$26,058
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment favors 68°F or higher at 74% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 10, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a rebound from an early-May snowstorm that dumped 4-10 inches across the region, leaving monthly averages 2.7°F below normal. Recent model runs from NOAA ensembles show tight consensus around 68-72°F highs under clear skies, southwest winds of 7-14 mph, and an upper-level ridge promoting adiabatic warming at Buckley Space Force Base, the market's resolution station. The 21% odds on 66-67°F reflect residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms, with climatological May 10 norms near 69°F providing historical context. Watch the 4 p.m. MDT NWS Boulder update for refined guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$26,058
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Denver on May 10?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "68°F or higher" at 72%, followed by "66-67°F" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Denver on May 10?" has generated $26.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Denver on May 10?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Denver on May 10?" is "68°F or higher" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "66-67°F" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Denver on May 10?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.