Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 26°C high in Busan on May 10 at 35% implied probability, edging out 27°C or higher at 25%, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest aviation forecast for nearby Gimhae Airport projecting a 24°C maximum under clear skies following the May 5 cold wave advisory's end. This positioning reflects ensemble model discrepancies—AccuWeather anticipates warmer 29°C amid times of clouds and sun—coupled with strengthening high pressure enabling greater diurnal heating after recent cooler nights (11–14°C lows). Busan's coastal location introduces sea breeze moderation, tempering extremes from historical May averages around 22–23°C. New KMA short-range updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities as solar insolation and wind patterns clarify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 10?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 10?
23°C 45%
22°C 32%
24°C 22%
21°C 11.5%
NEW
$10,908 Vol.
NEW
$10,908 Vol.
May 10, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
12%
22°C
27%
23°C
45%
24°C
22%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
22°C 32%
24°C 22%
21°C 11.5%
NEW
$10,908 Vol.
NEW
$10,908 Vol.
May 10, 2026
17°C or below
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,863 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,783 Vol.
1%
21°C
$628 Vol.
12%
22°C
$584 Vol.
27%
23°C
$578 Vol.
45%
24°C
$659 Vol.
22%
25°C
$1,322 Vol.
3%
26°C
$497 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$384 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 26°C high in Busan on May 10 at 35% implied probability, edging out 27°C or higher at 25%, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest aviation forecast for nearby Gimhae Airport projecting a 24°C maximum under clear skies following the May 5 cold wave advisory's end. This positioning reflects ensemble model discrepancies—AccuWeather anticipates warmer 29°C amid times of clouds and sun—coupled with strengthening high pressure enabling greater diurnal heating after recent cooler nights (11–14°C lows). Busan's coastal location introduces sea breeze moderation, tempering extremes from historical May averages around 22–23°C. New KMA short-range updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities as solar insolation and wind patterns clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$10,908End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 26°C high in Busan on May 10 at 35% implied probability, edging out 27°C or higher at 25%, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest aviation forecast for nearby Gimhae Airport projecting a 24°C maximum under clear skies following the May 5 cold wave advisory's end. This positioning reflects ensemble model discrepancies—AccuWeather anticipates warmer 29°C amid times of clouds and sun—coupled with strengthening high pressure enabling greater diurnal heating after recent cooler nights (11–14°C lows). Busan's coastal location introduces sea breeze moderation, tempering extremes from historical May averages around 22–23°C. New KMA short-range updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities as solar insolation and wind patterns clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,908End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 26°C high in Busan on May 10 at 35% implied probability, edging out 27°C or higher at 25%, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest aviation forecast for nearby Gimhae Airport projecting a 24°C maximum under clear skies following the May 5 cold wave advisory's end. This positioning reflects ensemble model discrepancies—AccuWeather anticipates warmer 29°C amid times of clouds and sun—coupled with strengthening high pressure enabling greater diurnal heating after recent cooler nights (11–14°C lows). Busan's coastal location introduces sea breeze moderation, tempering extremes from historical May averages around 22–23°C. New KMA short-range updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities as solar insolation and wind patterns clarify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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