Latest KNMI and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Amsterdam's May 10 high temperature clustering around 16-18°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds with 17°C at 30% reflecting trader consensus on model spread from uncertain cloud cover tied to an approaching Atlantic low and variable North Sea airflow. Recent 24-hour updates, including yesterday's 12Z ECMWF run, show a modest warming shift via strengthening southerly winds and partial ridge influence over northern Europe, boosting 20°C odds to 24.5% despite 40-50% precipitation chances limiting full insolation. Climatological May 10 highs average 16°C at Schiphol Airport, underscoring spring variability; 00Z model cycles and KNMI bulletins expected within hours will sharpen resolution criteria amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 10?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 10?
16°C 44%
15°C 35%
17°C 19%
18°C 4.0%
NEW
NEW
May 10, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
35%
16°C
44%
17°C
19%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 44%
15°C 35%
17°C 19%
18°C 4.0%
NEW
NEW
May 10, 2026
12°C or below
$728 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$354 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,867 Vol.
3%
15°C
$1,316 Vol.
35%
16°C
$1,268 Vol.
44%
17°C
$624 Vol.
19%
18°C
$789 Vol.
4%
19°C
$983 Vol.
1%
20°C
$449 Vol.
1%
21°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Amsterdam's May 10 high temperature clustering around 16-18°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds with 17°C at 30% reflecting trader consensus on model spread from uncertain cloud cover tied to an approaching Atlantic low and variable North Sea airflow. Recent 24-hour updates, including yesterday's 12Z ECMWF run, show a modest warming shift via strengthening southerly winds and partial ridge influence over northern Europe, boosting 20°C odds to 24.5% despite 40-50% precipitation chances limiting full insolation. Climatological May 10 highs average 16°C at Schiphol Airport, underscoring spring variability; 00Z model cycles and KNMI bulletins expected within hours will sharpen resolution criteria amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$9,190End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Amsterdam's May 10 high temperature clustering around 16-18°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds with 17°C at 30% reflecting trader consensus on model spread from uncertain cloud cover tied to an approaching Atlantic low and variable North Sea airflow. Recent 24-hour updates, including yesterday's 12Z ECMWF run, show a modest warming shift via strengthening southerly winds and partial ridge influence over northern Europe, boosting 20°C odds to 24.5% despite 40-50% precipitation chances limiting full insolation. Climatological May 10 highs average 16°C at Schiphol Airport, underscoring spring variability; 00Z model cycles and KNMI bulletins expected within hours will sharpen resolution criteria amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,190End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KNMI and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Amsterdam's May 10 high temperature clustering around 16-18°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds with 17°C at 30% reflecting trader consensus on model spread from uncertain cloud cover tied to an approaching Atlantic low and variable North Sea airflow. Recent 24-hour updates, including yesterday's 12Z ECMWF run, show a modest warming shift via strengthening southerly winds and partial ridge influence over northern Europe, boosting 20°C odds to 24.5% despite 40-50% precipitation chances limiting full insolation. Climatological May 10 highs average 16°C at Schiphol Airport, underscoring spring variability; 00Z model cycles and KNMI bulletins expected within hours will sharpen resolution criteria amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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