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Elections·Primaries

GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

Nikema Williams 96.9%

Arnetress Beatty 3.7%

Victor Hill 1.7%

Andres Castro 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Nikema Williams 96.9%

Arnetress Beatty 3.7%

Victor Hill 1.7%

Andres Castro 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Nikema Williams

$4,444 Vol.

97%

Arnetress Beatty

$964 Vol.

4%

Victor Hill

$1,068 Vol.

2%

Andres Castro

$825 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams holds a commanding 96% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for Georgia's 5th Congressional District primary on May 19, reflecting her entrenched position in the safely Democratic Atlanta-area seat, bolstered by recent endorsements like Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and media assessments of her dominance just days ago. Challengers Arnetress Beatty, former Clayton County Sheriff Victor Hill, and Andres Castro trail far behind amid minimal polling or fundraising momentum to unseat her, underscoring trader consensus on incumbency advantages and weak opposition in this low-turnout primary. Late-breaking scandals, a surprise voter turnout surge, or internal party fractures could theoretically shift odds, though such disruptions remain improbable given the timeline and historical primary patterns.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,302
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams holds a commanding 96% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for Georgia's 5th Congressional District primary on May 19, reflecting her entrenched position in the safely Democratic Atlanta-area seat, bolstered by recent endorsements like Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and media assessments of her dominance just days ago. Challengers Arnetress Beatty, former Clayton County Sheriff Victor Hill, and Andres Castro trail far behind amid minimal polling or fundraising momentum to unseat her, underscoring trader consensus on incumbency advantages and weak opposition in this low-turnout primary. Late-breaking scandals, a surprise voter turnout surge, or internal party fractures could theoretically shift odds, though such disruptions remain improbable given the timeline and historical primary patterns.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,302
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nikema Williams" at 97%, followed by "Arnetress Beatty" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Nikema Williams" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arnetress Beatty" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.