With the Croydon mayoral election set for May 7, trader consensus heavily favors Labour councillor Rowenna Davis at 64% implied probability, driven by recent polling projections depicting her narrowly ahead of incumbent Conservative Jason Perry (27.5%) in a splintered field. Davis's manifesto rollout this week, focusing on resident priorities amid past council financial woes, and robust social media engagement have sustained her lead, while Perry emphasizes stabilization achieved since his 2022 victory. Green candidate Peter Underwood holds third at 8.1% on year-round activism, with Liberal Democrat Richard Howard and others trailing. Final campaigning and turnout in this tight contest could shift odds before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCroydon Mayoral Election Winner
Croydon Mayoral Election Winner
Rowenna Davis 64%
Jason Perry 28%
Peter Underwood 8.0%
Ben Flook <1%
$93,368 Vol.
$93,368 Vol.

Rowenna Davis
64%

Jason Perry
28%

Peter Underwood
8%

Ben Flook
1%

Jose Joseph
<1%

Richard Howard
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%
Rowenna Davis 64%
Jason Perry 28%
Peter Underwood 8.0%
Ben Flook <1%
$93,368 Vol.
$93,368 Vol.

Rowenna Davis
64%

Jason Perry
28%

Peter Underwood
8%

Ben Flook
1%

Jose Joseph
<1%

Richard Howard
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the Croydon mayoral election set for May 7, trader consensus heavily favors Labour councillor Rowenna Davis at 64% implied probability, driven by recent polling projections depicting her narrowly ahead of incumbent Conservative Jason Perry (27.5%) in a splintered field. Davis's manifesto rollout this week, focusing on resident priorities amid past council financial woes, and robust social media engagement have sustained her lead, while Perry emphasizes stabilization achieved since his 2022 victory. Green candidate Peter Underwood holds third at 8.1% on year-round activism, with Liberal Democrat Richard Howard and others trailing. Final campaigning and turnout in this tight contest could shift odds before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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