Labour's Rowenna Davis commands 64% trader consensus implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7 under first-past-the-post rules, ahead of incumbent Conservative Jason Perry at 27.5%, as recent JL Partners/YouGov polling shows her narrowly leading a splintered field—Labour 24%, Conservatives 23%, Greens 19% via Peter Underwood, Lib Dems 17% via Richard Howard, and Reform UK 10% via Ben Flook—where opposition vote fragmentation favors her plurality path. Perry seeks re-election after stabilizing finances post-Labour-era bankruptcies, but national Tory headwinds, council tax hikes, and progressive splits erode his support. Postal voting turnout and final undecideds could tip the closely contested marginal borough race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCroydon Mayoral Election Winner
Croydon Mayoral Election Winner
Rowenna Davis 64%
Jason Perry 28%
Peter Underwood 8.0%
Ben Flook <1%
$93,368 Vol.
$93,368 Vol.
May 7, 2026
Rowenna Davis
64%
Jason Perry
28%
Peter Underwood
8%
Ben Flook
1%
Jose Joseph
<1%
Richard Howard
<1%
Michael Pusey
<1%
Rowenna Davis 64%
Jason Perry 28%
Peter Underwood 8.0%
Ben Flook <1%
$93,368 Vol.
$93,368 Vol.
May 7, 2026
Rowenna Davis
$33,329 Vol.
64%
Jason Perry
$7,242 Vol.
28%
Peter Underwood
$8,087 Vol.
8%
Ben Flook
$30,798 Vol.
1%
Jose Joseph
$4,038 Vol.
<1%
Richard Howard
$3,767 Vol.
<1%
Michael Pusey
$6,106 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.Labour's Rowenna Davis commands 64% trader consensus implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7 under first-past-the-post rules, ahead of incumbent Conservative Jason Perry at 27.5%, as recent JL Partners/YouGov polling shows her narrowly leading a splintered field—Labour 24%, Conservatives 23%, Greens 19% via Peter Underwood, Lib Dems 17% via Richard Howard, and Reform UK 10% via Ben Flook—where opposition vote fragmentation favors her plurality path. Perry seeks re-election after stabilizing finances post-Labour-era bankruptcies, but national Tory headwinds, council tax hikes, and progressive splits erode his support. Postal voting turnout and final undecideds could tip the closely contested marginal borough race.
The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$93,368End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.Labour's Rowenna Davis commands 64% trader consensus implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7 under first-past-the-post rules, ahead of incumbent Conservative Jason Perry at 27.5%, as recent JL Partners/YouGov polling shows her narrowly leading a splintered field—Labour 24%, Conservatives 23%, Greens 19% via Peter Underwood, Lib Dems 17% via Richard Howard, and Reform UK 10% via Ben Flook—where opposition vote fragmentation favors her plurality path. Perry seeks re-election after stabilizing finances post-Labour-era bankruptcies, but national Tory headwinds, council tax hikes, and progressive splits erode his support. Postal voting turnout and final undecideds could tip the closely contested marginal borough race.
The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Volume
$93,368End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Rowenna Davis commands 64% trader consensus implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7 under first-past-the-post rules, ahead of incumbent Conservative Jason Perry at 27.5%, as recent JL Partners/YouGov polling shows her narrowly leading a splintered field—Labour 24%, Conservatives 23%, Greens 19% via Peter Underwood, Lib Dems 17% via Richard Howard, and Reform UK 10% via Ben Flook—where opposition vote fragmentation favors her plurality path. Perry seeks re-election after stabilizing finances post-Labour-era bankruptcies, but national Tory headwinds, council tax hikes, and progressive splits erode his support. Postal voting turnout and final undecideds could tip the closely contested marginal borough race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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