Kerry-Lynne Findlay leads trader consensus at 37.5% implied probability in the B.C. Conservative Party leadership race, buoyed by her federal experience as a former Conservative cabinet minister and MP, alongside endorsements from withdrawn candidates like Sheldon Clare, amid a surge in party membership to 42,000 by the April 18 cutoff. Caroline Elliott trails at 26.5% on her profile as a political commentator and backing from Harman Bhangu and Darrell Jones, while Peter Milobar's 16.0% reflects polls highlighting his electability as Kamloops Centre MLA against the NDP. Recent April debates in Vancouver showcased clashes on policy and unity, but analysts deem commissioned surveys unreliable due to biases, leaving the May 30 ranked-ballot vote—opening May 23 post-identity verification—wide open as no frontrunner dominates the enlarged electorate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedB.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 37.6%
Caroline Elliott 27%
Peter Milobar 16%
Yuri Fulmer 10.4%
$100,081 Vol.
$100,081 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
38%

Caroline Elliott
27%

Peter Milobar
16%

Yuri Fulmer
10%

Iain Black
9%

Harman Bhangu
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 37.6%
Caroline Elliott 27%
Peter Milobar 16%
Yuri Fulmer 10.4%
$100,081 Vol.
$100,081 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
38%

Caroline Elliott
27%

Peter Milobar
16%

Yuri Fulmer
10%

Iain Black
9%

Harman Bhangu
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kerry-Lynne Findlay leads trader consensus at 37.5% implied probability in the B.C. Conservative Party leadership race, buoyed by her federal experience as a former Conservative cabinet minister and MP, alongside endorsements from withdrawn candidates like Sheldon Clare, amid a surge in party membership to 42,000 by the April 18 cutoff. Caroline Elliott trails at 26.5% on her profile as a political commentator and backing from Harman Bhangu and Darrell Jones, while Peter Milobar's 16.0% reflects polls highlighting his electability as Kamloops Centre MLA against the NDP. Recent April debates in Vancouver showcased clashes on policy and unity, but analysts deem commissioned surveys unreliable due to biases, leaving the May 30 ranked-ballot vote—opening May 23 post-identity verification—wide open as no frontrunner dominates the enlarged electorate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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