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Politics·Global Elections

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

icon for B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 37.6%

Caroline Elliott 27%

Peter Milobar 16%

Yuri Fulmer 10.4%

Polymarket

$100,363 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 37.6%

Caroline Elliott 27%

Peter Milobar 16%

Yuri Fulmer 10.4%

Polymarket

$100,363 Vol.

icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$12,278 Vol.

38%

icon for Caroline Elliott

Caroline Elliott

$17,665 Vol.

27%

icon for Peter Milobar

Peter Milobar

$13,350 Vol.

16%

icon for Yuri Fulmer

Yuri Fulmer

$14,282 Vol.

10%

icon for Iain Black

Iain Black

$10,972 Vol.

9%

icon for Harman Bhangu

Harman Bhangu

$7,312 Vol.

1%

icon for Bruce Banman

Bruce Banman

$8,952 Vol.

<1%

icon for Warren Hamm

Warren Hamm

$7,692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darrell Jones

Darrell Jones

$7,860 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Former federal Conservative MP Kerry-Lynne Findlay leads trader consensus at 37.5% implied probability to win the B.C. Conservative Party leadership on May 30, buoyed by her national experience and positioning as the purest conservative amid scrutiny of rivals' BC Liberal ties—Caroline Elliott (27%), Peter Milobar (16%), Yuri Fulmer (10.4%), and Iain Black (9.4%). The field narrowed to these five finalists on April 22 after Warren Hamm's dropout, with membership surging to 42,000 eligible voters now verifying identities for ballots. Recent debates highlighted electability divides, while earlier March polls favoring Elliott and Milobar have shifted as Findlay gains grassroots endorsements and fundraising momentum in the tight pre-vote sprint.

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Volume
$100,363
End Date
May 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Former federal Conservative MP Kerry-Lynne Findlay leads trader consensus at 37.5% implied probability to win the B.C. Conservative Party leadership on May 30, buoyed by her national experience and positioning as the purest conservative amid scrutiny of rivals' BC Liberal ties—Caroline Elliott (27%), Peter Milobar (16%), Yuri Fulmer (10.4%), and Iain Black (9.4%). The field narrowed to these five finalists on April 22 after Warren Hamm's dropout, with membership surging to 42,000 eligible voters now verifying identities for ballots. Recent debates highlighted electability divides, while earlier March polls favoring Elliott and Milobar have shifted as Findlay gains grassroots endorsements and fundraising momentum in the tight pre-vote sprint.

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Volume
$100,363
End Date
May 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 38%, followed by "Caroline Elliott" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner" has generated $100.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner" is "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Caroline Elliott" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.