The Republican majority in the House of Representatives, combined with the absence of any active impeachment inquiry or bipartisan support, drives the overwhelming trader consensus that impeachment will not occur by June 30. With only weeks remaining before the deadline, procedural requirements—including committee investigations, floor votes, and Senate trial—face insurmountable calendar and political barriers under unified party control. Historical patterns show impeachment rarely advances against a sitting president of the majority party without exceptional circumstances. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, sudden shifts in House leadership, or unforeseen congressional defections could theoretically alter momentum, though the compressed timeline limits realistic pathways for such changes to unfold before resolution.