President Trump's June 8 nomination of acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has placed the confirmation squarely before the Senate, with the Judiciary Committee beginning review amid Republican caucus divisions. Recent tensions over a proposed Justice Department anti-weaponization fund and related executive priorities have prompted some GOP senators, including Judiciary members, to signal they will condition support on hearing responses, creating uncertainty about final vote totals. Democrats are expected to oppose the nominee along party lines, consistent with Blanche's prior 52-46 confirmation as deputy attorney general. The clustered market probabilities around 49-55 votes reflect this combination of potential Republican cohesion, possible holds or defections, and the simple-majority threshold required for Senate confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado48 42%
52 42%
54 42%
55 42%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 ene 2027
≤46
32%
47
41%
48
42%
49
40%
50
41%
51
41%
52
42%
53
39%
54
42%
55
42%
56
39%
57
42%
58+
32%
Sin votación antes del 31 de diciembre/Retirado
41%
48 42%
52 42%
54 42%
55 42%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 ene 2027
≤46
$0 Vol.
32%
47
$0 Vol.
41%
48
$0 Vol.
42%
49
$0 Vol.
40%
50
$0 Vol.
41%
51
$0 Vol.
41%
52
$0 Vol.
42%
53
$0 Vol.
39%
54
$0 Vol.
42%
55
$0 Vol.
42%
56
$0 Vol.
39%
57
$0 Vol.
42%
58+
$0 Vol.
32%
Sin votación antes del 31 de diciembre/Retirado
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's June 8 nomination of acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has placed the confirmation squarely before the Senate, with the Judiciary Committee beginning review amid Republican caucus divisions. Recent tensions over a proposed Justice Department anti-weaponization fund and related executive priorities have prompted some GOP senators, including Judiciary members, to signal they will condition support on hearing responses, creating uncertainty about final vote totals. Democrats are expected to oppose the nominee along party lines, consistent with Blanche's prior 52-46 confirmation as deputy attorney general. The clustered market probabilities around 49-55 votes reflect this combination of potential Republican cohesion, possible holds or defections, and the simple-majority threshold required for Senate confirmation.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's June 8 nomination of acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has placed the confirmation squarely before the Senate, with the Judiciary Committee beginning review amid Republican caucus divisions. Recent tensions over a proposed Justice Department anti-weaponization fund and related executive priorities have prompted some GOP senators, including Judiciary members, to signal they will condition support on hearing responses, creating uncertainty about final vote totals. Democrats are expected to oppose the nominee along party lines, consistent with Blanche's prior 52-46 confirmation as deputy attorney general. The clustered market probabilities around 49-55 votes reflect this combination of potential Republican cohesion, possible holds or defections, and the simple-majority threshold required for Senate confirmation.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's June 8 nomination of acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has placed the confirmation squarely before the Senate, with the Judiciary Committee beginning review amid Republican caucus divisions. Recent tensions over a proposed Justice Department anti-weaponization fund and related executive priorities have prompted some GOP senators, including Judiciary members, to signal they will condition support on hearing responses, creating uncertainty about final vote totals. Democrats are expected to oppose the nominee along party lines, consistent with Blanche's prior 52-46 confirmation as deputy attorney general. The clustered market probabilities around 49-55 votes reflect this combination of potential Republican cohesion, possible holds or defections, and the simple-majority threshold required for Senate confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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