Following U.S. forces' January 3, 2026, capture of Nicolás Maduro, who remains in custody facing drug and sanctions charges, Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in as interim president and has consolidated control by replacing senior military commanders in March and securing U.S. sanctions relief in early April, alongside a major BP gas exploration deal on April 30. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Maduro highest at 64.5%, driven by lags in UN head-of-state recognition, Venezuelan constitutional limits on interim tenures now exceeded, and speculation on his potential release or legal continuity amid no elections scheduled. Rodríguez trails at 16.5% on de facto governance and U.S. engagement like restored Miami-Caracas flights, while opposition figure María Corina Machado sits at 8.5% pending any transition timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Líder de Venezuela a finales de 2026?
¿Líder de Venezuela a finales de 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 64.5%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 9%
Sin jefe de Estado <1%
$86,466,139 Vol.
$86,466,139 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nicolás Maduro
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina Machado
9%
Sin jefe de Estado
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 64.5%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 9%
Sin jefe de Estado <1%
$86,466,139 Vol.
$86,466,139 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$1,506,030 Vol.
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,560,529 Vol.
21%
María Corina Machado
$1,022,349 Vol.
9%
Sin jefe de Estado
$949,843 Vol.
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$976,524 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$884,104 Vol.
<1%
Edmundo González
$719,195 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$768,347 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,189,589 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$648,930 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,577,965 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$4,852,605 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,490,357 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,400,632 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$24,965,224 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$31,960,168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Following U.S. forces' January 3, 2026, capture of Nicolás Maduro, who remains in custody facing drug and sanctions charges, Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in as interim president and has consolidated control by replacing senior military commanders in March and securing U.S. sanctions relief in early April, alongside a major BP gas exploration deal on April 30. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Maduro highest at 64.5%, driven by lags in UN head-of-state recognition, Venezuelan constitutional limits on interim tenures now exceeded, and speculation on his potential release or legal continuity amid no elections scheduled. Rodríguez trails at 16.5% on de facto governance and U.S. engagement like restored Miami-Caracas flights, while opposition figure María Corina Machado sits at 8.5% pending any transition timeline.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volumen
$86,466,139Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Following U.S. forces' January 3, 2026, capture of Nicolás Maduro, who remains in custody facing drug and sanctions charges, Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in as interim president and has consolidated control by replacing senior military commanders in March and securing U.S. sanctions relief in early April, alongside a major BP gas exploration deal on April 30. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Maduro highest at 64.5%, driven by lags in UN head-of-state recognition, Venezuelan constitutional limits on interim tenures now exceeded, and speculation on his potential release or legal continuity amid no elections scheduled. Rodríguez trails at 16.5% on de facto governance and U.S. engagement like restored Miami-Caracas flights, while opposition figure María Corina Machado sits at 8.5% pending any transition timeline.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volumen
$86,466,139Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following U.S. forces' January 3, 2026, capture of Nicolás Maduro, who remains in custody facing drug and sanctions charges, Delcy Rodríguez was sworn in as interim president and has consolidated control by replacing senior military commanders in March and securing U.S. sanctions relief in early April, alongside a major BP gas exploration deal on April 30. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Maduro highest at 64.5%, driven by lags in UN head-of-state recognition, Venezuelan constitutional limits on interim tenures now exceeded, and speculation on his potential release or legal continuity amid no elections scheduled. Rodríguez trails at 16.5% on de facto governance and U.S. engagement like restored Miami-Caracas flights, while opposition figure María Corina Machado sits at 8.5% pending any transition timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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