Iran's Islamic Penal Code criminalizes same-sex sexual activity, imposing penalties from flogging to the death penalty, embedding profound legal and cultural barriers to gay marriage legalization under the theocratic regime overseen by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. No legislative initiatives, official announcements, or reform signals have surfaced in the past 30 days, reinforcing trader consensus at 97.8% for "No" amid persistent enforcement, discrimination, and state-subsidized gender-affirming surgeries positioned as a coercive alternative to homosexuality. This stance aligns with sharia-based governance, unchanged since the 1979 revolution. Realistic shifts would require regime collapse, constitutional rewrite, or seismic diplomatic pressures—low-probability events given current stability and institutional entrenchment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$44,422 Vol.
$44,422 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$44,422 Vol.
$44,422 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Penal Code criminalizes same-sex sexual activity, imposing penalties from flogging to the death penalty, embedding profound legal and cultural barriers to gay marriage legalization under the theocratic regime overseen by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. No legislative initiatives, official announcements, or reform signals have surfaced in the past 30 days, reinforcing trader consensus at 97.8% for "No" amid persistent enforcement, discrimination, and state-subsidized gender-affirming surgeries positioned as a coercive alternative to homosexuality. This stance aligns with sharia-based governance, unchanged since the 1979 revolution. Realistic shifts would require regime collapse, constitutional rewrite, or seismic diplomatic pressures—low-probability events given current stability and institutional entrenchment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volumen
$44,422Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Penal Code criminalizes same-sex sexual activity, imposing penalties from flogging to the death penalty, embedding profound legal and cultural barriers to gay marriage legalization under the theocratic regime overseen by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. No legislative initiatives, official announcements, or reform signals have surfaced in the past 30 days, reinforcing trader consensus at 97.8% for "No" amid persistent enforcement, discrimination, and state-subsidized gender-affirming surgeries positioned as a coercive alternative to homosexuality. This stance aligns with sharia-based governance, unchanged since the 1979 revolution. Realistic shifts would require regime collapse, constitutional rewrite, or seismic diplomatic pressures—low-probability events given current stability and institutional entrenchment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$44,422Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Penal Code criminalizes same-sex sexual activity, imposing penalties from flogging to the death penalty, embedding profound legal and cultural barriers to gay marriage legalization under the theocratic regime overseen by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. No legislative initiatives, official announcements, or reform signals have surfaced in the past 30 days, reinforcing trader consensus at 97.8% for "No" amid persistent enforcement, discrimination, and state-subsidized gender-affirming surgeries positioned as a coercive alternative to homosexuality. This stance aligns with sharia-based governance, unchanged since the 1979 revolution. Realistic shifts would require regime collapse, constitutional rewrite, or seismic diplomatic pressures—low-probability events given current stability and institutional entrenchment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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