Skip to main content
icon for ¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?

¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?

icon for ¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?

¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?

NUEVO
1 ene 2027
Polymarket

$1,402 Vol.

Polymarket

Dan Sullivan

$972 Vol.

85%

John Fetterman

$0 Vol.

44%

Bill Cassidy

$43 Vol.

44%

Mitch McConnell

$108 Vol.

50%

Lisa Murkowski

$43 Vol.

45%

Susan Collins

$35 Vol.

45%

John Curtis

$67 Vol.

54%

Rand Paul

$36 Vol.

45%

John Cornyn

$48 Vol.

47%

Thom Tillis

$50 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Trump announced Jay Clayton’s nomination as Director of National Intelligence on June 11, 2026, shortly after naming Bill Pulte as acting DNI amid congressional resistance to that choice and related FISA reauthorization disputes. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence scheduled Clayton’s confirmation hearing for June 17, with Majority Leader John Thune signaling intent to advance the process rapidly once paperwork arrives. Clayton, currently U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and a former SEC chairman confirmed by the Senate in Trump’s first term, brings prior executive-branch vetting experience that could ease some procedural steps. Democrats, including Sens. Schumer and Schiff, have emphasized the need for thorough background checks and FBI review while pressing for Pulte’s removal from the acting role; committee votes and any holds could determine whether full Senate consideration occurs before the August recess or later. Trader sentiment reflects expectations of eventual confirmation given Republican Senate control and cross-aisle familiarity with the nominee, tempered by the short timeline and potential for partisan procedural delays.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,402
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Trump announced Jay Clayton’s nomination as Director of National Intelligence on June 11, 2026, shortly after naming Bill Pulte as acting DNI amid congressional resistance to that choice and related FISA reauthorization disputes. The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence scheduled Clayton’s confirmation hearing for June 17, with Majority Leader John Thune signaling intent to advance the process rapidly once paperwork arrives. Clayton, currently U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and a former SEC chairman confirmed by the Senate in Trump’s first term, brings prior executive-branch vetting experience that could ease some procedural steps. Democrats, including Sens. Schumer and Schiff, have emphasized the need for thorough background checks and FBI review while pressing for Pulte’s removal from the acting role; committee votes and any holds could determine whether full Senate consideration occurs before the August recess or later. Trader sentiment reflects expectations of eventual confirmation given Republican Senate control and cross-aisle familiarity with the nominee, tempered by the short timeline and potential for partisan procedural delays.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,402
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Dan Sullivan" con 85%, seguido de "John Curtis" con 54%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 12, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?" es "Dan Sullivan" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Curtis" con 54%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.