Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw's commanding position in Virginia's 11th Congressional District stems from his landslide 75% victory in the 2025 special election, dominant Q1 2026 fundraising with over $2.2 million raised and $796,000 cash on hand—far outpacing primary challengers Bree Fram, Stella Pekarsky, and Amy Roma—and the district's D+7 Cook PVI anchored in Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia suburbs despite redistricting extensions into rural areas. Recent passage of Virginia's redistricting referendum on April 22, which Walkinshaw hailed as rejecting a national Republican push, reinforces favorable maps ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general. Trader consensus at 93.9% implies minimal upset risk barring a Democratic primary shock, high-profile GOP recruitment post-May 26 filing deadline, scandal, or midterm Republican wave.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$17,851 Vol.
$17,851 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$17,851 Vol.
$17,851 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$11,993 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$5,858 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw's commanding position in Virginia's 11th Congressional District stems from his landslide 75% victory in the 2025 special election, dominant Q1 2026 fundraising with over $2.2 million raised and $796,000 cash on hand—far outpacing primary challengers Bree Fram, Stella Pekarsky, and Amy Roma—and the district's D+7 Cook PVI anchored in Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia suburbs despite redistricting extensions into rural areas. Recent passage of Virginia's redistricting referendum on April 22, which Walkinshaw hailed as rejecting a national Republican push, reinforces favorable maps ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general. Trader consensus at 93.9% implies minimal upset risk barring a Democratic primary shock, high-profile GOP recruitment post-May 26 filing deadline, scandal, or midterm Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$17,851Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw's commanding position in Virginia's 11th Congressional District stems from his landslide 75% victory in the 2025 special election, dominant Q1 2026 fundraising with over $2.2 million raised and $796,000 cash on hand—far outpacing primary challengers Bree Fram, Stella Pekarsky, and Amy Roma—and the district's D+7 Cook PVI anchored in Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia suburbs despite redistricting extensions into rural areas. Recent passage of Virginia's redistricting referendum on April 22, which Walkinshaw hailed as rejecting a national Republican push, reinforces favorable maps ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general. Trader consensus at 93.9% implies minimal upset risk barring a Democratic primary shock, high-profile GOP recruitment post-May 26 filing deadline, scandal, or midterm Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,851Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw's commanding position in Virginia's 11th Congressional District stems from his landslide 75% victory in the 2025 special election, dominant Q1 2026 fundraising with over $2.2 million raised and $796,000 cash on hand—far outpacing primary challengers Bree Fram, Stella Pekarsky, and Amy Roma—and the district's D+7 Cook PVI anchored in Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia suburbs despite redistricting extensions into rural areas. Recent passage of Virginia's redistricting referendum on April 22, which Walkinshaw hailed as rejecting a national Republican push, reinforces favorable maps ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general. Trader consensus at 93.9% implies minimal upset risk barring a Democratic primary shock, high-profile GOP recruitment post-May 26 filing deadline, scandal, or midterm Republican wave.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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