Recent easing in gasoline prices has driven a rebound in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, with the preliminary June 2026 reading rising to 48.9 from May’s record low of 44.8 and exceeding consensus estimates near 46. This improvement, concentrated among lower-income households most sensitive to fuel costs, reflects modest relief in day-to-day expenses amid broader inflation pressures tied to geopolitical energy disruptions. Persistent concerns over short-term price levels keep overall sentiment depressed—still 19% below year-ago levels—with one-year inflation expectations at 4.6%. The tight distribution between the 46.0–48.9 and 49.0–51.9 bins highlights uncertainty ahead of the June 26 final release, as revisions and any further commodity moves could shift the outcome within the closely contested range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado46.0–48.9 43%
49.0–51.9 36.4%
40.0–42.9 7.1%
<40.0 6.5%
$114,339 Vol.
$114,339 Vol.
<40.0
6%
40.0–42.9
7%
43.0–45.9
5%
46.0–48.9
43%
49.0–51.9
36%
52.0–54.9
<1%
≥55.0
<1%
46.0–48.9 43%
49.0–51.9 36.4%
40.0–42.9 7.1%
<40.0 6.5%
$114,339 Vol.
$114,339 Vol.
<40.0
6%
40.0–42.9
7%
43.0–45.9
5%
46.0–48.9
43%
49.0–51.9
36%
52.0–54.9
<1%
≥55.0
<1%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 29, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent easing in gasoline prices has driven a rebound in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, with the preliminary June 2026 reading rising to 48.9 from May’s record low of 44.8 and exceeding consensus estimates near 46. This improvement, concentrated among lower-income households most sensitive to fuel costs, reflects modest relief in day-to-day expenses amid broader inflation pressures tied to geopolitical energy disruptions. Persistent concerns over short-term price levels keep overall sentiment depressed—still 19% below year-ago levels—with one-year inflation expectations at 4.6%. The tight distribution between the 46.0–48.9 and 49.0–51.9 bins highlights uncertainty ahead of the June 26 final release, as revisions and any further commodity moves could shift the outcome within the closely contested range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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