Republican majorities in Congress create substantial procedural barriers to removal, as House impeachment requires only a simple majority while Senate conviction demands a two-thirds vote that remains elusive without bipartisan support. Democratic lawmakers have introduced articles citing foreign policy actions and rhetoric in 2026, yet these face limited prospects of advancing to conviction or triggering 25th Amendment invocation, which needs vice-presidential and cabinet backing. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent for Trump remaining in office through 2026 reflects these institutional thresholds, historical precedent for rare successful removals, and the absence of developments capable of shifting the required margins before the 2027 window closes.