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Política·Canadá

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Toronto

icon for Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Toronto
Política·Canadá

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Toronto

Olivia Chow 77%

Brad Bradford 14%

Ana Bailão 5.8%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$18,807 Vol.

Olivia Chow 77%

Brad Bradford 14%

Ana Bailão 5.8%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$18,807 Vol.

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$5,110 Vol.

77%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$4,753 Vol.

14%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$2,591 Vol.

6%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$1,358 Vol.

1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$1,668 Vol.

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$1,130 Vol.

1%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$1,030 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$1,169 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands 76.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, driven by her incumbency advantage and consistent polling leads, including Liaison Strategies' April 17 survey showing 46% support to challenger Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters amid debates over issues like the Island Airport expansion. Bradford, who placed third in the 2023 byelection, solidified his challenge at 14% implied probability after becoming the first candidate to officially register when nominations opened May 1. Ana Bailão trails at 8.8% on lingering name recognition from her strong 2023 runner-up finish, despite her current role as CEO of federal agency Build Canada Homes. With six months remaining, undecided voters—around 25% in recent polls—and additional entrants could influence the race.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volumen
$18,807
Fecha de finalización
26 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands 76.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, driven by her incumbency advantage and consistent polling leads, including Liaison Strategies' April 17 survey showing 46% support to challenger Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters amid debates over issues like the Island Airport expansion. Bradford, who placed third in the 2023 byelection, solidified his challenge at 14% implied probability after becoming the first candidate to officially register when nominations opened May 1. Ana Bailão trails at 8.8% on lingering name recognition from her strong 2023 runner-up finish, despite her current role as CEO of federal agency Build Canada Homes. With six months remaining, undecided voters—around 25% in recent polls—and additional entrants could influence the race.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volumen
$18,807
Fecha de finalización
26 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Toronto" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Olivia Chow" con 77%, seguido de "Brad Bradford" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 77¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Toronto" ha generado $18.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Toronto", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Toronto" es "Olivia Chow" con 77%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Brad Bradford" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Toronto" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.