Strava's confidential IPO filing in January 2026, led by Goldman Sachs and targeting a spring debut, has fueled trader consensus for a near-term public listing, with market-implied odds favoring 7B–10B closing market cap at 28.2% amid 180 million registered users and revenue approaching $500 million ARR from subscription growth. However, closely contested probabilities—15B+ at 20.1% and <2B at 16%—reflect uncertainty over valuation multiples above the $2.2 billion private round, pressured by ongoing unprofitability, a lawsuit with key data partner Garmin, and intensifying competition from Whoop, Oura, and AI-driven coaching apps. Traders eye the public S-1 filing and roadshow as pivotal catalysts in a volatile tech IPO window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$85,738 Vol.
$85,738 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2 mil millones
20%
2B–3B
9%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones
6%
4B–5B
17%
$5 mil millones–$7 mil millones
5%
7 mil millones–10 mil millones
28%
10B–15B
6%
15 mil millones+
19%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
10%
$85,738 Vol.
$85,738 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2 mil millones
$824 Vol.
20%
2B–3B
$53,833 Vol.
9%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones
$24,961 Vol.
6%
4B–5B
$1,092 Vol.
17%
$5 mil millones–$7 mil millones
$859 Vol.
5%
7 mil millones–10 mil millones
$881 Vol.
28%
10B–15B
$1,559 Vol.
6%
15 mil millones+
$1,162 Vol.
19%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$567 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's confidential IPO filing in January 2026, led by Goldman Sachs and targeting a spring debut, has fueled trader consensus for a near-term public listing, with market-implied odds favoring 7B–10B closing market cap at 28.2% amid 180 million registered users and revenue approaching $500 million ARR from subscription growth. However, closely contested probabilities—15B+ at 20.1% and <2B at 16%—reflect uncertainty over valuation multiples above the $2.2 billion private round, pressured by ongoing unprofitability, a lawsuit with key data partner Garmin, and intensifying competition from Whoop, Oura, and AI-driven coaching apps. Traders eye the public S-1 filing and roadshow as pivotal catalysts in a volatile tech IPO window.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volumen
$85,738Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's confidential IPO filing in January 2026, led by Goldman Sachs and targeting a spring debut, has fueled trader consensus for a near-term public listing, with market-implied odds favoring 7B–10B closing market cap at 28.2% amid 180 million registered users and revenue approaching $500 million ARR from subscription growth. However, closely contested probabilities—15B+ at 20.1% and <2B at 16%—reflect uncertainty over valuation multiples above the $2.2 billion private round, pressured by ongoing unprofitability, a lawsuit with key data partner Garmin, and intensifying competition from Whoop, Oura, and AI-driven coaching apps. Traders eye the public S-1 filing and roadshow as pivotal catalysts in a volatile tech IPO window.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$85,738Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava's confidential IPO filing in January 2026, led by Goldman Sachs and targeting a spring debut, has fueled trader consensus for a near-term public listing, with market-implied odds favoring 7B–10B closing market cap at 28.2% amid 180 million registered users and revenue approaching $500 million ARR from subscription growth. However, closely contested probabilities—15B+ at 20.1% and <2B at 16%—reflect uncertainty over valuation multiples above the $2.2 billion private round, pressured by ongoing unprofitability, a lawsuit with key data partner Garmin, and intensifying competition from Whoop, Oura, and AI-driven coaching apps. Traders eye the public S-1 filing and roadshow as pivotal catalysts in a volatile tech IPO window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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