Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX IPO valuation in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range at 67% implied probability, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026 targeting around $1.75 trillion—later boosted above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports—and backed by Starlink's surging subscriber growth and launch cadence dominance. This positions it ahead of the $1.50-1.75 trillion outcome (31.1%), as traders weigh aggressive revenue projections of $15-18 billion against a lofty 95x trailing multiple and recent $5 billion losses, following a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Key catalysts include an early June roadshow and late-June debut, amid scrutiny of Musk's board control and execution risks in AI and multi-planetary ambitions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1,75-2,00 billones 66%
1.25-1.50T 10.5%
2.25-2.50T 8.0%
2.50T+ 4.7%
$131,771 Vol.
$131,771 Vol.
<1,25B
4%
1.25-1.50T
17%
1,50-1,75T
39%
1,75-2,00 billones
66%
2,00-2,25T
29%
2.25-2.50T
6%
2.50T+
5%
1,75-2,00 billones 66%
1.25-1.50T 10.5%
2.25-2.50T 8.0%
2.50T+ 4.7%
$131,771 Vol.
$131,771 Vol.
<1,25B
$60,082 Vol.
4%
1.25-1.50T
$16,003 Vol.
17%
1,50-1,75T
$8,192 Vol.
39%
1,75-2,00 billones
$12,859 Vol.
66%
2,00-2,25T
$13,871 Vol.
29%
2.25-2.50T
$10,019 Vol.
6%
2.50T+
$10,745 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX IPO valuation in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range at 67% implied probability, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026 targeting around $1.75 trillion—later boosted above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports—and backed by Starlink's surging subscriber growth and launch cadence dominance. This positions it ahead of the $1.50-1.75 trillion outcome (31.1%), as traders weigh aggressive revenue projections of $15-18 billion against a lofty 95x trailing multiple and recent $5 billion losses, following a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Key catalysts include an early June roadshow and late-June debut, amid scrutiny of Musk's board control and execution risks in AI and multi-planetary ambitions.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$131,771Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX IPO valuation in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range at 67% implied probability, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026 targeting around $1.75 trillion—later boosted above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports—and backed by Starlink's surging subscriber growth and launch cadence dominance. This positions it ahead of the $1.50-1.75 trillion outcome (31.1%), as traders weigh aggressive revenue projections of $15-18 billion against a lofty 95x trailing multiple and recent $5 billion losses, following a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Key catalysts include an early June roadshow and late-June debut, amid scrutiny of Musk's board control and execution risks in AI and multi-planetary ambitions.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$131,771Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX IPO valuation in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range at 67% implied probability, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026 targeting around $1.75 trillion—later boosted above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports—and backed by Starlink's surging subscriber growth and launch cadence dominance. This positions it ahead of the $1.50-1.75 trillion outcome (31.1%), as traders weigh aggressive revenue projections of $15-18 billion against a lofty 95x trailing multiple and recent $5 billion losses, following a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Key catalysts include an early June roadshow and late-June debut, amid scrutiny of Musk's board control and execution risks in AI and multi-planetary ambitions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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