SpaceX’s fixed IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise, underpins the market-implied odds placing near-certain probability on the 1.75-2.00T range. This reflects the company’s recent private-market levels near $1.5 trillion, Starlink revenue momentum exceeding $18 billion annually, and integration of AI infrastructure investments, all priced into the take-it-or-leave-it structure that bypassed traditional bookbuilding. Trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, treats the offering valuation as effectively locked following the June 2026 roadshow and Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. Realistic challenges include any last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected shifts in demand that could alter effective proceeds, though such outcomes appear remote given the abbreviated timeline and strong institutional interest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1,75-2,00 billones 100.0%
2,00-2,25T <1%
2.25-2.50T <1%
<1,25B <1%
$245,093 Vol.
$245,093 Vol.
<1,25B
<1%
1.25-1.50T
<1%
1,50-1,75T
<1%
1,75-2,00 billones
100%
2,00-2,25T
<1%
2.25-2.50T
<1%
2.50T+
<1%
1,75-2,00 billones 100.0%
2,00-2,25T <1%
2.25-2.50T <1%
<1,25B <1%
$245,093 Vol.
$245,093 Vol.
<1,25B
$71,614 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.50T
$23,306 Vol.
<1%
1,50-1,75T
$23,259 Vol.
<1%
1,75-2,00 billones
$52,958 Vol.
100%
2,00-2,25T
$27,638 Vol.
<1%
2.25-2.50T
$19,632 Vol.
<1%
2.50T+
$26,835 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s fixed IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise, underpins the market-implied odds placing near-certain probability on the 1.75-2.00T range. This reflects the company’s recent private-market levels near $1.5 trillion, Starlink revenue momentum exceeding $18 billion annually, and integration of AI infrastructure investments, all priced into the take-it-or-leave-it structure that bypassed traditional bookbuilding. Trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, treats the offering valuation as effectively locked following the June 2026 roadshow and Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. Realistic challenges include any last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected shifts in demand that could alter effective proceeds, though such outcomes appear remote given the abbreviated timeline and strong institutional interest.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$245,093Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s fixed IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise, underpins the market-implied odds placing near-certain probability on the 1.75-2.00T range. This reflects the company’s recent private-market levels near $1.5 trillion, Starlink revenue momentum exceeding $18 billion annually, and integration of AI infrastructure investments, all priced into the take-it-or-leave-it structure that bypassed traditional bookbuilding. Trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, treats the offering valuation as effectively locked following the June 2026 roadshow and Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. Realistic challenges include any last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected shifts in demand that could alter effective proceeds, though such outcomes appear remote given the abbreviated timeline and strong institutional interest.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$245,093Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s fixed IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise, underpins the market-implied odds placing near-certain probability on the 1.75-2.00T range. This reflects the company’s recent private-market levels near $1.5 trillion, Starlink revenue momentum exceeding $18 billion annually, and integration of AI infrastructure investments, all priced into the take-it-or-leave-it structure that bypassed traditional bookbuilding. Trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, treats the offering valuation as effectively locked following the June 2026 roadshow and Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. Realistic challenges include any last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected shifts in demand that could alter effective proceeds, though such outcomes appear remote given the abbreviated timeline and strong institutional interest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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