Trader consensus favors Morgan Stanley at 49.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated "Project Apex" IPO, driven by its longstanding advisory role with Elon Musk—including Tesla's 2010 IPO and Twitter financing—bolstered by Michael Grimes' return to the firm. Recent reports from late April highlight Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs jockeying for dominance among the confirmed lead bookrunners: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America (16.1%), Goldman Sachs (10.5%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup, with no single "lead left" designated and banks listed alphabetically. A April 6 virtual meeting with 21 syndicate banks outlined a June roadshow targeting $75 billion raised at up to $1.75 trillion valuation, elevating these firms while others trail due to junior roles; prospectus expected late May amid competitive positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMorgan Stanley 51%
Bank of America 16.0%
Goldman Sachs 11%
JPMorgan 1.1%
$1,692,678 Vol.
$1,692,678 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Morgan Stanley
51%
Bank of America
16%
Goldman Sachs
11%
JPMorgan
1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 51%
Bank of America 16.0%
Goldman Sachs 11%
JPMorgan 1.1%
$1,692,678 Vol.
$1,692,678 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Morgan Stanley
$342,891 Vol.
51%
Bank of America
$69,536 Vol.
16%
Goldman Sachs
$244,959 Vol.
11%
JPMorgan
$308,059 Vol.
1%
Citigroup
$190,463 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$66,687 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$96,662 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$312,109 Vol.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$61,310 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Morgan Stanley at 49.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated "Project Apex" IPO, driven by its longstanding advisory role with Elon Musk—including Tesla's 2010 IPO and Twitter financing—bolstered by Michael Grimes' return to the firm. Recent reports from late April highlight Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs jockeying for dominance among the confirmed lead bookrunners: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America (16.1%), Goldman Sachs (10.5%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup, with no single "lead left" designated and banks listed alphabetically. A April 6 virtual meeting with 21 syndicate banks outlined a June roadshow targeting $75 billion raised at up to $1.75 trillion valuation, elevating these firms while others trail due to junior roles; prospectus expected late May amid competitive positioning.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Volumen
$1,692,678Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Morgan Stanley at 49.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated "Project Apex" IPO, driven by its longstanding advisory role with Elon Musk—including Tesla's 2010 IPO and Twitter financing—bolstered by Michael Grimes' return to the firm. Recent reports from late April highlight Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs jockeying for dominance among the confirmed lead bookrunners: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America (16.1%), Goldman Sachs (10.5%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup, with no single "lead left" designated and banks listed alphabetically. A April 6 virtual meeting with 21 syndicate banks outlined a June roadshow targeting $75 billion raised at up to $1.75 trillion valuation, elevating these firms while others trail due to junior roles; prospectus expected late May amid competitive positioning.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,692,678Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Morgan Stanley at 49.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated "Project Apex" IPO, driven by its longstanding advisory role with Elon Musk—including Tesla's 2010 IPO and Twitter financing—bolstered by Michael Grimes' return to the firm. Recent reports from late April highlight Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs jockeying for dominance among the confirmed lead bookrunners: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America (16.1%), Goldman Sachs (10.5%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup, with no single "lead left" designated and banks listed alphabetically. A April 6 virtual meeting with 21 syndicate banks outlined a June roadshow targeting $75 billion raised at up to $1.75 trillion valuation, elevating these firms while others trail due to junior roles; prospectus expected late May amid competitive positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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