OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, marks the clearest step toward a potential listing, against a backdrop of an $852 billion post-money valuation from its March 2026 funding round and annualized revenue that reached $25 billion by February. Strong top-line growth continues to support elevated multiples, yet persistent operating losses, heavy infrastructure spending, and unresolved questions around for-profit restructuring keep outcomes widely dispersed across the $500 billion to $1.5 trillion-plus buckets. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether an IPO occurs by late 2026 or slips into 2027, alongside the final share-price multiple relative to revenue and the broader tech-IPO environment at launch.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1.5T+ 30.9%
750B–1T 21%
1,25T–1,5T 16%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027 12%
$28,659 Vol.
$28,659 Vol.
<500B
2%
500–750 mil millones
4%
750B–1T
21%
1T–1.25T
12%
1,25T–1,5T
16%
1.5T+
31%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
12%
1.5T+ 30.9%
750B–1T 21%
1,25T–1,5T 16%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027 12%
$28,659 Vol.
$28,659 Vol.
<500B
2%
500–750 mil millones
4%
750B–1T
21%
1T–1.25T
12%
1,25T–1,5T
16%
1.5T+
31%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
12%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, marks the clearest step toward a potential listing, against a backdrop of an $852 billion post-money valuation from its March 2026 funding round and annualized revenue that reached $25 billion by February. Strong top-line growth continues to support elevated multiples, yet persistent operating losses, heavy infrastructure spending, and unresolved questions around for-profit restructuring keep outcomes widely dispersed across the $500 billion to $1.5 trillion-plus buckets. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether an IPO occurs by late 2026 or slips into 2027, alongside the final share-price multiple relative to revenue and the broader tech-IPO environment at launch.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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