SpaceX's confidential IPO filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026—targeting a blockbuster June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—has solidified trader consensus at 96.3% for SpaceX going public before OpenAI, reflecting its advanced regulatory progress amid Starship milestones and Starlink revenue growth. OpenAI, despite a recent $122 billion funding round boosting its $852 billion valuation and Q4 2026 IPO ambitions, faces internal pushback from CFO Sarah Friar over aggressive timelines, revenue shortfalls, and massive AI compute spending projections. While SpaceX leads decisively, realistic risks include SEC review delays, volatile market conditions, Elon Musk's history of pivots, or unforeseen OpenAI acceleration via Microsoft ties. Watch Q2 earnings and filings for catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSpaceX
$72,338 Vol.
$72,338 Vol.
31 dic 2027
SpaceX
$72,338 Vol.
$72,338 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026—targeting a blockbuster June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—has solidified trader consensus at 96.3% for SpaceX going public before OpenAI, reflecting its advanced regulatory progress amid Starship milestones and Starlink revenue growth. OpenAI, despite a recent $122 billion funding round boosting its $852 billion valuation and Q4 2026 IPO ambitions, faces internal pushback from CFO Sarah Friar over aggressive timelines, revenue shortfalls, and massive AI compute spending projections. While SpaceX leads decisively, realistic risks include SEC review delays, volatile market conditions, Elon Musk's history of pivots, or unforeseen OpenAI acceleration via Microsoft ties. Watch Q2 earnings and filings for catalysts.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Volumen
$72,338Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026—targeting a blockbuster June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—has solidified trader consensus at 96.3% for SpaceX going public before OpenAI, reflecting its advanced regulatory progress amid Starship milestones and Starlink revenue growth. OpenAI, despite a recent $122 billion funding round boosting its $852 billion valuation and Q4 2026 IPO ambitions, faces internal pushback from CFO Sarah Friar over aggressive timelines, revenue shortfalls, and massive AI compute spending projections. While SpaceX leads decisively, realistic risks include SEC review delays, volatile market conditions, Elon Musk's history of pivots, or unforeseen OpenAI acceleration via Microsoft ties. Watch Q2 earnings and filings for catalysts.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$72,338Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential IPO filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026—targeting a blockbuster June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—has solidified trader consensus at 96.3% for SpaceX going public before OpenAI, reflecting its advanced regulatory progress amid Starship milestones and Starlink revenue growth. OpenAI, despite a recent $122 billion funding round boosting its $852 billion valuation and Q4 2026 IPO ambitions, faces internal pushback from CFO Sarah Friar over aggressive timelines, revenue shortfalls, and massive AI compute spending projections. While SpaceX leads decisively, realistic risks include SEC review delays, volatile market conditions, Elon Musk's history of pivots, or unforeseen OpenAI acceleration via Microsoft ties. Watch Q2 earnings and filings for catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes