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icon for ¿La OPI de OpenAI cierra la capitalización de mercado por encima de ___ ?
Finanzas·OPI

¿La OPI de OpenAI cierra la capitalización de mercado por encima de ___ ?

icon for ¿La OPI de OpenAI cierra la capitalización de mercado por encima de ___ ?
Finanzas·OPI

¿La OPI de OpenAI cierra la capitalización de mercado por encima de ___ ?

Polymarket

$1,484,449 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,484,449 Vol.

$800 mil millones

$94,640 Vol.

76%

1 billón de dólares

$1,041,304 Vol.

61%

$1,2 billones

$248,821 Vol.

55%

1,4 billones de dólares

$58,073 Vol.

39%

$1.6 billones

$41,610 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's push toward a potential Q4 2026 initial public offering faces heightened scrutiny after a Wall Street Journal report detailed misses on first-quarter revenue and weekly active user targets, underscoring slowing growth amid ballooning compute expenses projected at $600 billion over five years. CFO Sarah Friar's warnings on unsustainable spending and organizational unreadiness have sparked internal tensions with CEO Sam Altman, who restructured her reporting line and excluded her from key investor discussions on server procurement. A recent $122 billion funding commitment valued the firm at $852 billion privately, though much is milestone-contingent; restructuring the Microsoft revenue-sharing deal and new Amazon partnership provide some relief, while Elon Musk's ongoing lawsuit poses regulatory risks. Traders eye S-1 filing timelines and Q2 earnings for clarity on profitability path, with losses forecast at $14 billion for 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volumen
$1,484,449
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's push toward a potential Q4 2026 initial public offering faces heightened scrutiny after a Wall Street Journal report detailed misses on first-quarter revenue and weekly active user targets, underscoring slowing growth amid ballooning compute expenses projected at $600 billion over five years. CFO Sarah Friar's warnings on unsustainable spending and organizational unreadiness have sparked internal tensions with CEO Sam Altman, who restructured her reporting line and excluded her from key investor discussions on server procurement. A recent $122 billion funding commitment valued the firm at $852 billion privately, though much is milestone-contingent; restructuring the Microsoft revenue-sharing deal and new Amazon partnership provide some relief, while Elon Musk's ongoing lawsuit poses regulatory risks. Traders eye S-1 filing timelines and Q2 earnings for clarity on profitability path, with losses forecast at $14 billion for 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volumen
$1,484,449
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La OPI de OpenAI cierra la capitalización de mercado por encima de ___ ?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "$800 mil millones" con 76%, seguido de "1 billón de dólares" con 61%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 76¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La OPI de OpenAI cierra la capitalización de mercado por encima de ___ ?" ha generado $1.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 31, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La OPI de OpenAI cierra la capitalización de mercado por encima de ___ ?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La OPI de OpenAI cierra la capitalización de mercado por encima de ___ ?" es "$800 mil millones" con 76%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "1 billón de dólares" con 61%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La OPI de OpenAI cierra la capitalización de mercado por encima de ___ ?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.