Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's January confidential SEC submission targeting a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Missed March timeline, coupled with profitability challenges—evident in low $2.16 per-user annual revenue despite 260 million monthly actives and $725 million estimated 2024 ARR—has dampened sentiment amid a cautious 2026 IPO pipeline. If listing occurs, traders favor sub-$15 billion market cap at 16.2%, signaling downround risks from 2021's $15 billion private valuation; higher brackets remain negligible absent revenue acceleration or favorable market conditions. Key watch: impending S-1 details on monetization roadmap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 77%
<15 mil millones 17.7%
15–20 mil millones 2.5%
30.000M+ 2.5%
$884,847 Vol.
$884,847 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<15 mil millones
18%
15–20 mil millones
3%
20–25B
<1%
25–30B
1%
30.000M+
2%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
77%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 77%
<15 mil millones 17.7%
15–20 mil millones 2.5%
30.000M+ 2.5%
$884,847 Vol.
$884,847 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<15 mil millones
$297,908 Vol.
18%
15–20 mil millones
$108,754 Vol.
3%
20–25B
$74,039 Vol.
<1%
25–30B
$111,849 Vol.
1%
30.000M+
$99,345 Vol.
2%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
$192,952 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's January confidential SEC submission targeting a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Missed March timeline, coupled with profitability challenges—evident in low $2.16 per-user annual revenue despite 260 million monthly actives and $725 million estimated 2024 ARR—has dampened sentiment amid a cautious 2026 IPO pipeline. If listing occurs, traders favor sub-$15 billion market cap at 16.2%, signaling downround risks from 2021's $15 billion private valuation; higher brackets remain negligible absent revenue acceleration or favorable market conditions. Key watch: impending S-1 details on monetization roadmap.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$884,847Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's January confidential SEC submission targeting a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Missed March timeline, coupled with profitability challenges—evident in low $2.16 per-user annual revenue despite 260 million monthly actives and $725 million estimated 2024 ARR—has dampened sentiment amid a cautious 2026 IPO pipeline. If listing occurs, traders favor sub-$15 billion market cap at 16.2%, signaling downround risks from 2021's $15 billion private valuation; higher brackets remain negligible absent revenue acceleration or favorable market conditions. Key watch: impending S-1 details on monetization roadmap.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$884,847Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public S-1 filing three months after the company's January confidential SEC submission targeting a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Missed March timeline, coupled with profitability challenges—evident in low $2.16 per-user annual revenue despite 260 million monthly actives and $725 million estimated 2024 ARR—has dampened sentiment amid a cautious 2026 IPO pipeline. If listing occurs, traders favor sub-$15 billion market cap at 16.2%, signaling downround risks from 2021's $15 billion private valuation; higher brackets remain negligible absent revenue acceleration or favorable market conditions. Key watch: impending S-1 details on monetization roadmap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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