Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 66.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the AI safety-focused lab advancing preparations for an October 2026 listing, including talks with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan for a potential $60 billion raise at valuations exceeding $900 billion. This momentum stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue surge to $30 billion, enterprise market share gains to 30.6%, and closing the gap with OpenAI amid strong coding agent demand. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, with CFO Sarah Friar flagging missed revenue targets, $121 billion compute commitments, and unreadiness for its targeted Q4 2026 debut despite CEO Sam Altman's push. Watch for S-1 filings or funding announcements as key catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
$53,282 Vol.
$53,282 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$53,282 Vol.
$53,282 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 66.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the AI safety-focused lab advancing preparations for an October 2026 listing, including talks with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan for a potential $60 billion raise at valuations exceeding $900 billion. This momentum stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue surge to $30 billion, enterprise market share gains to 30.6%, and closing the gap with OpenAI amid strong coding agent demand. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, with CFO Sarah Friar flagging missed revenue targets, $121 billion compute commitments, and unreadiness for its targeted Q4 2026 debut despite CEO Sam Altman's push. Watch for S-1 filings or funding announcements as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$53,282Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 66.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the AI safety-focused lab advancing preparations for an October 2026 listing, including talks with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan for a potential $60 billion raise at valuations exceeding $900 billion. This momentum stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue surge to $30 billion, enterprise market share gains to 30.6%, and closing the gap with OpenAI amid strong coding agent demand. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, with CFO Sarah Friar flagging missed revenue targets, $121 billion compute commitments, and unreadiness for its targeted Q4 2026 debut despite CEO Sam Altman's push. Watch for S-1 filings or funding announcements as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$53,282Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 66.5% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the AI safety-focused lab advancing preparations for an October 2026 listing, including talks with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan for a potential $60 billion raise at valuations exceeding $900 billion. This momentum stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue surge to $30 billion, enterprise market share gains to 30.6%, and closing the gap with OpenAI amid strong coding agent demand. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, with CFO Sarah Friar flagging missed revenue targets, $121 billion compute commitments, and unreadiness for its targeted Q4 2026 debut despite CEO Sam Altman's push. Watch for S-1 filings or funding announcements as key catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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