Trader consensus on Polymarket positions SpaceX's potential IPO closing market cap firmly in the $1.5T–2.0T range at 36% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion in proceeds. Surging Starlink revenues from global satellite broadband expansion, including direct-to-cell spectrum deals, alongside Starship reusability milestones enabling NASA lunar contracts and Mars ambitions, have propelled private share prices above $600, justifying the cluster of high odds through $2.5T. Recent reports of a possible June listing have minimized "No IPO before 2028" odds to 3.8%, though regulatory scrutiny on Elon Musk's dual-class voting structure adds uncertainty ahead of any public debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,915,094 Vol.
$1,915,094 Vol.
<1,0T
6%
1,0T-1,5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
36%
2.0T-2.5T
26%
2.5T-3.0T
19%
3.0T-3.5T
4%
3,5T+
2%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
4%
$1,915,094 Vol.
$1,915,094 Vol.
<1,0T
$69,279 Vol.
6%
1,0T-1,5T
$56,363 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$61,315 Vol.
36%
2.0T-2.5T
$91,257 Vol.
26%
2.5T-3.0T
$811,556 Vol.
19%
3.0T-3.5T
$482,469 Vol.
4%
3,5T+
$65,459 Vol.
2%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$277,394 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions SpaceX's potential IPO closing market cap firmly in the $1.5T–2.0T range at 36% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion in proceeds. Surging Starlink revenues from global satellite broadband expansion, including direct-to-cell spectrum deals, alongside Starship reusability milestones enabling NASA lunar contracts and Mars ambitions, have propelled private share prices above $600, justifying the cluster of high odds through $2.5T. Recent reports of a possible June listing have minimized "No IPO before 2028" odds to 3.8%, though regulatory scrutiny on Elon Musk's dual-class voting structure adds uncertainty ahead of any public debut.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,915,094Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions SpaceX's potential IPO closing market cap firmly in the $1.5T–2.0T range at 36% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion in proceeds. Surging Starlink revenues from global satellite broadband expansion, including direct-to-cell spectrum deals, alongside Starship reusability milestones enabling NASA lunar contracts and Mars ambitions, have propelled private share prices above $600, justifying the cluster of high odds through $2.5T. Recent reports of a possible June listing have minimized "No IPO before 2028" odds to 3.8%, though regulatory scrutiny on Elon Musk's dual-class voting structure adds uncertainty ahead of any public debut.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,915,094Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions SpaceX's potential IPO closing market cap firmly in the $1.5T–2.0T range at 36% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion in proceeds. Surging Starlink revenues from global satellite broadband expansion, including direct-to-cell spectrum deals, alongside Starship reusability milestones enabling NASA lunar contracts and Mars ambitions, have propelled private share prices above $600, justifying the cluster of high odds through $2.5T. Recent reports of a possible June listing have minimized "No IPO before 2028" odds to 3.8%, though regulatory scrutiny on Elon Musk's dual-class voting structure adds uncertainty ahead of any public debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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