Polymarket traders price a 66% implied probability on a June SpaceX initial public offering, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, which adheres to standard timelines: draft S-1 prospectus expected mid-May, roadshow early June, and pricing by late June at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation raising up to $75 billion. Robust Starlink revenue surpassing $10 billion annually, recent xAI merger integration, and Elon Musk's preserved control via dual-class shares bolster consensus, with August (18%) and July (8%) as delay contingencies amid favorable market conditions for mega-IPOs. No notable setbacks have emerged in the past 30 days, though regulatory review or volatility could shift dynamics ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJunio 66%
Agosto 17.3%
Julio 7.6%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 6.4%
$333,357 Vol.
$333,357 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Abril
<1%
Mayo
<1%
Junio
66%
Julio
8%
Agosto
17%
Septiembre
3%
Octubre
1%
Noviembre
1%
Diciembre
1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
6%
Junio 66%
Agosto 17.3%
Julio 7.6%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 6.4%
$333,357 Vol.
$333,357 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Abril
$37,594 Vol.
<1%
Mayo
$61,420 Vol.
<1%
Junio
$106,318 Vol.
66%
Julio
$18,215 Vol.
8%
Agosto
$8,825 Vol.
17%
Septiembre
$9,719 Vol.
3%
Octubre
$9,041 Vol.
1%
Noviembre
$10,230 Vol.
1%
Diciembre
$5,759 Vol.
1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
$13,154 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Polymarket traders price a 66% implied probability on a June SpaceX initial public offering, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, which adheres to standard timelines: draft S-1 prospectus expected mid-May, roadshow early June, and pricing by late June at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation raising up to $75 billion. Robust Starlink revenue surpassing $10 billion annually, recent xAI merger integration, and Elon Musk's preserved control via dual-class shares bolster consensus, with August (18%) and July (8%) as delay contingencies amid favorable market conditions for mega-IPOs. No notable setbacks have emerged in the past 30 days, though regulatory review or volatility could shift dynamics ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volumen
$333,357Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Polymarket traders price a 66% implied probability on a June SpaceX initial public offering, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, which adheres to standard timelines: draft S-1 prospectus expected mid-May, roadshow early June, and pricing by late June at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation raising up to $75 billion. Robust Starlink revenue surpassing $10 billion annually, recent xAI merger integration, and Elon Musk's preserved control via dual-class shares bolster consensus, with August (18%) and July (8%) as delay contingencies amid favorable market conditions for mega-IPOs. No notable setbacks have emerged in the past 30 days, though regulatory review or volatility could shift dynamics ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Volumen
$333,357Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 66% implied probability on a June SpaceX initial public offering, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, which adheres to standard timelines: draft S-1 prospectus expected mid-May, roadshow early June, and pricing by late June at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation raising up to $75 billion. Robust Starlink revenue surpassing $10 billion annually, recent xAI merger integration, and Elon Musk's preserved control via dual-class shares bolster consensus, with August (18%) and July (8%) as delay contingencies amid favorable market conditions for mega-IPOs. No notable setbacks have emerged in the past 30 days, though regulatory review or volatility could shift dynamics ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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