Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97% implied probability), driven by the absence of any official S-1 filing, banker hires, or announcements signaling near-term public listing, despite earlier rumors of a potential October debut. The company's February 2026 Series G funding round raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—its largest yet—bolstered by surging Claude large language model revenue and secondary market trading near $1 trillion, eliminating cash urgency amid ample backing from Amazon and Google. Competitive pressures from OpenAI and xAI intensify focus on AI capabilities over liquidity events. Realistic challenges include an unexpected accelerated filing amid volatile tech markets or regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, though IPO timelines typically span 4–6 months post-S-1.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 97.0%
600 mil millones+ 2.2%
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B <1%
400–600 mil millones <1%
$1,106,561 Vol.
$1,106,561 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300 mil millones
<1%
300–400 mil millones
<1%
400–600 mil millones
<1%
600 mil millones+
2%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
97%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 97.0%
600 mil millones+ 2.2%
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B <1%
400–600 mil millones <1%
$1,106,561 Vol.
$1,106,561 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
$222,480 Vol.
1%
100–200B
$79,161 Vol.
<1%
200–300 mil millones
$134,708 Vol.
<1%
300–400 mil millones
$83,045 Vol.
<1%
400–600 mil millones
$132,391 Vol.
<1%
600 mil millones+
$263,417 Vol.
2%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
$192,106 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97% implied probability), driven by the absence of any official S-1 filing, banker hires, or announcements signaling near-term public listing, despite earlier rumors of a potential October debut. The company's February 2026 Series G funding round raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—its largest yet—bolstered by surging Claude large language model revenue and secondary market trading near $1 trillion, eliminating cash urgency amid ample backing from Amazon and Google. Competitive pressures from OpenAI and xAI intensify focus on AI capabilities over liquidity events. Realistic challenges include an unexpected accelerated filing amid volatile tech markets or regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, though IPO timelines typically span 4–6 months post-S-1.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,106,561Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97% implied probability), driven by the absence of any official S-1 filing, banker hires, or announcements signaling near-term public listing, despite earlier rumors of a potential October debut. The company's February 2026 Series G funding round raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—its largest yet—bolstered by surging Claude large language model revenue and secondary market trading near $1 trillion, eliminating cash urgency amid ample backing from Amazon and Google. Competitive pressures from OpenAI and xAI intensify focus on AI capabilities over liquidity events. Realistic challenges include an unexpected accelerated filing amid volatile tech markets or regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, though IPO timelines typically span 4–6 months post-S-1.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,106,561Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97% implied probability), driven by the absence of any official S-1 filing, banker hires, or announcements signaling near-term public listing, despite earlier rumors of a potential October debut. The company's February 2026 Series G funding round raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—its largest yet—bolstered by surging Claude large language model revenue and secondary market trading near $1 trillion, eliminating cash urgency amid ample backing from Amazon and Google. Competitive pressures from OpenAI and xAI intensify focus on AI capabilities over liquidity events. Realistic challenges include an unexpected accelerated filing amid volatile tech markets or regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, though IPO timelines typically span 4–6 months post-S-1.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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