Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 74% implied probability, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing despite preparatory steps like March's audited GAAP financials disclosure and February's $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. The data and AI platform's surging $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth underscores robust demand for its lakehouse architecture amid AI workloads, yet recent debt raises reduce cash urgency. SaaS market headwinds, compressed public multiples, and a crowded 2026 mega-IPO pipeline—including SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic—dampen near-term prospects, positioning 100–125 billion market cap outcomes as conditional favorites if a listing occurs later. Watch for S-1 signals or Data + AI Summit announcements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 73.8%
100–125 mil millones 5.8%
<100 mil millones 3.0%
125–150B 1.0%
$397,045 Vol.
$397,045 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100 mil millones
3%
100–125 mil millones
6%
125–150B
1%
150–175 mil millones
1%
175–200 mil millones
1%
200–250B
<1%
250 mil millones+
1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
74%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 73.8%
100–125 mil millones 5.8%
<100 mil millones 3.0%
125–150B 1.0%
$397,045 Vol.
$397,045 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100 mil millones
$32,935 Vol.
3%
100–125 mil millones
$61,039 Vol.
6%
125–150B
$25,567 Vol.
1%
150–175 mil millones
$59,389 Vol.
1%
175–200 mil millones
$57,541 Vol.
1%
200–250B
$19,682 Vol.
<1%
250 mil millones+
$125,646 Vol.
1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
$15,247 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 74% implied probability, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing despite preparatory steps like March's audited GAAP financials disclosure and February's $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. The data and AI platform's surging $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth underscores robust demand for its lakehouse architecture amid AI workloads, yet recent debt raises reduce cash urgency. SaaS market headwinds, compressed public multiples, and a crowded 2026 mega-IPO pipeline—including SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic—dampen near-term prospects, positioning 100–125 billion market cap outcomes as conditional favorites if a listing occurs later. Watch for S-1 signals or Data + AI Summit announcements.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volumen
$397,045Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 74% implied probability, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing despite preparatory steps like March's audited GAAP financials disclosure and February's $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. The data and AI platform's surging $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth underscores robust demand for its lakehouse architecture amid AI workloads, yet recent debt raises reduce cash urgency. SaaS market headwinds, compressed public multiples, and a crowded 2026 mega-IPO pipeline—including SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic—dampen near-term prospects, positioning 100–125 billion market cap outcomes as conditional favorites if a listing occurs later. Watch for S-1 signals or Data + AI Summit announcements.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$397,045Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 74% implied probability, driven by the absence of an S-1 filing despite preparatory steps like March's audited GAAP financials disclosure and February's $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. The data and AI platform's surging $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth underscores robust demand for its lakehouse architecture amid AI workloads, yet recent debt raises reduce cash urgency. SaaS market headwinds, compressed public multiples, and a crowded 2026 mega-IPO pipeline—including SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic—dampen near-term prospects, positioning 100–125 billion market cap outcomes as conditional favorites if a listing occurs later. Watch for S-1 signals or Data + AI Summit announcements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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