Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split between 50-60 billion and 80-90 billion raise outcomes at 49.5% implied probabilities each for SpaceX's anticipated June 2026 IPO, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and subsequent escalation of valuation targets above $2 trillion from an initial $1.75 trillion. This positioning stems from robust Starlink revenue growth and Starship milestones offsetting 2025 operating losses, tempered by macro risk-off sentiment and IPO pricing dynamics for the largest debut ever—surpassing Saudi Aramco's $29 billion record. Key differentiators include unprecedented retail allocation and banker feedback during the early June roadshow, with final sizing hinging on demand for 2.5-4% dilution at mega-cap scale.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$137,512 Vol.
$137,512 Vol.
<40 mil millones
13%
40-50B
10%
50-60 mil millones
51%
60-70 mil millones
9%
70-80 mil millones
41%
80-90 mil millones
50%
90-100 mil millones
4%
100-110 mil millones
4%
110-120B
4%
120 mil millones o más
9%
$137,512 Vol.
$137,512 Vol.
<40 mil millones
$9,648 Vol.
13%
40-50B
$5,582 Vol.
10%
50-60 mil millones
$33,082 Vol.
51%
60-70 mil millones
$14,233 Vol.
9%
70-80 mil millones
$24,537 Vol.
41%
80-90 mil millones
$15,482 Vol.
50%
90-100 mil millones
$10,657 Vol.
4%
100-110 mil millones
$7,478 Vol.
4%
110-120B
$9,290 Vol.
4%
120 mil millones o más
$7,523 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split between 50-60 billion and 80-90 billion raise outcomes at 49.5% implied probabilities each for SpaceX's anticipated June 2026 IPO, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and subsequent escalation of valuation targets above $2 trillion from an initial $1.75 trillion. This positioning stems from robust Starlink revenue growth and Starship milestones offsetting 2025 operating losses, tempered by macro risk-off sentiment and IPO pricing dynamics for the largest debut ever—surpassing Saudi Aramco's $29 billion record. Key differentiators include unprecedented retail allocation and banker feedback during the early June roadshow, with final sizing hinging on demand for 2.5-4% dilution at mega-cap scale.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volumen
$137,512Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split between 50-60 billion and 80-90 billion raise outcomes at 49.5% implied probabilities each for SpaceX's anticipated June 2026 IPO, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and subsequent escalation of valuation targets above $2 trillion from an initial $1.75 trillion. This positioning stems from robust Starlink revenue growth and Starship milestones offsetting 2025 operating losses, tempered by macro risk-off sentiment and IPO pricing dynamics for the largest debut ever—surpassing Saudi Aramco's $29 billion record. Key differentiators include unprecedented retail allocation and banker feedback during the early June roadshow, with final sizing hinging on demand for 2.5-4% dilution at mega-cap scale.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$137,512Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split between 50-60 billion and 80-90 billion raise outcomes at 49.5% implied probabilities each for SpaceX's anticipated June 2026 IPO, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and subsequent escalation of valuation targets above $2 trillion from an initial $1.75 trillion. This positioning stems from robust Starlink revenue growth and Starship milestones offsetting 2025 operating losses, tempered by macro risk-off sentiment and IPO pricing dynamics for the largest debut ever—surpassing Saudi Aramco's $29 billion record. Key differentiators include unprecedented retail allocation and banker feedback during the early June roadshow, with final sizing hinging on demand for 2.5-4% dilution at mega-cap scale.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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