Recent May 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation accelerating to 3.1% year-over-year—driven by elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions—has lifted trader expectations for South Korea’s full-year average, supporting the 54.5% implied probability on the 3.0%+ outcome. The Bank of Korea revised its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7% from 2.2% at its May meeting while holding the policy rate at 2.50%, with a hawkish board split signaling potential tightening ahead of the July 16 decision. Core measures also firmed to 2.5%, reflecting broader pass-through effects. June CPI and subsequent releases will further shape the annual path amid persistent energy risks and moderating domestic demand.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3,0%+ 56%
2,1% a 2,3% 26.2%
2,4% a 2,6% 25.3%
1,8% a 2,0% 23.7%
$11,310 Vol.
$11,310 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
4%
1,5% a 1,7%
7%
1,8% a 2,0%
24%
2,1% a 2,3%
26%
2,4% a 2,6%
25%
2,7% a 2,9%
23%
3,0%+
54%
3,0%+ 56%
2,1% a 2,3% 26.2%
2,4% a 2,6% 25.3%
1,8% a 2,0% 23.7%
$11,310 Vol.
$11,310 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
$1,260 Vol.
4%
1,5% a 1,7%
$1,046 Vol.
7%
1,8% a 2,0%
$110 Vol.
24%
2,1% a 2,3%
$159 Vol.
26%
2,4% a 2,6%
$145 Vol.
25%
2,7% a 2,9%
$139 Vol.
23%
3,0%+
$8,452 Vol.
54%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent May 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation accelerating to 3.1% year-over-year—driven by elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions—has lifted trader expectations for South Korea’s full-year average, supporting the 54.5% implied probability on the 3.0%+ outcome. The Bank of Korea revised its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7% from 2.2% at its May meeting while holding the policy rate at 2.50%, with a hawkish board split signaling potential tightening ahead of the July 16 decision. Core measures also firmed to 2.5%, reflecting broader pass-through effects. June CPI and subsequent releases will further shape the annual path amid persistent energy risks and moderating domestic demand.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$11,310Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent May 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation accelerating to 3.1% year-over-year—driven by elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions—has lifted trader expectations for South Korea’s full-year average, supporting the 54.5% implied probability on the 3.0%+ outcome. The Bank of Korea revised its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7% from 2.2% at its May meeting while holding the policy rate at 2.50%, with a hawkish board split signaling potential tightening ahead of the July 16 decision. Core measures also firmed to 2.5%, reflecting broader pass-through effects. June CPI and subsequent releases will further shape the annual path amid persistent energy risks and moderating domestic demand.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$11,310Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent May 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation accelerating to 3.1% year-over-year—driven by elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions—has lifted trader expectations for South Korea’s full-year average, supporting the 54.5% implied probability on the 3.0%+ outcome. The Bank of Korea revised its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7% from 2.2% at its May meeting while holding the policy rate at 2.50%, with a hawkish board split signaling potential tightening ahead of the July 16 decision. Core measures also firmed to 2.5%, reflecting broader pass-through effects. June CPI and subsequent releases will further shape the annual path amid persistent energy risks and moderating domestic demand.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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