Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation jumping to 4.0% from 3.1% the prior month, driven by sharp fuel and electricity tariff increases, while food prices continued easing. The South African Reserve Bank’s May forecast projects 2026 average inflation at 4.4%, with the OECD at 4.2%, reflecting upside risks from administered prices and global oil volatility following earlier geopolitical pressures. At the same time, the revised 3% target with a ±1 percentage point band and moderating core readings support expectations for convergence toward lower outcomes. With Polymarket’s leading bins—2.9-3.2% and 4.1-4.4%—nearly tied, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether near-term energy shocks will persist through year-end or dissipate amid subdued growth and contained services inflation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2,9-3,2% 40.7%
2,6-2,9% 33.6%
<2,6% 13.4%
3,5-3,8% 7.1%
$21,426 Vol.
$21,426 Vol.
20 ene 2027
<2,6%
13%
2,6-2,9%
34%
2,9-3,2%
41%
3,2-3,5%
39%
3,5-3,8%
16%
3.8-4.1%
30%
4,1-4,4%
38%
4,4-4,7%
10%
4,7-5,0%
24%
>5,0%
16%
2,9-3,2% 40.7%
2,6-2,9% 33.6%
<2,6% 13.4%
3,5-3,8% 7.1%
$21,426 Vol.
$21,426 Vol.
20 ene 2027
<2,6%
$267 Vol.
13%
2,6-2,9%
$282 Vol.
34%
2,9-3,2%
$369 Vol.
41%
3,2-3,5%
$369 Vol.
39%
3,5-3,8%
$471 Vol.
16%
3.8-4.1%
$661 Vol.
30%
4,1-4,4%
$539 Vol.
38%
4,4-4,7%
$12,146 Vol.
10%
4,7-5,0%
$373 Vol.
24%
>5,0%
$5,948 Vol.
16%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation jumping to 4.0% from 3.1% the prior month, driven by sharp fuel and electricity tariff increases, while food prices continued easing. The South African Reserve Bank’s May forecast projects 2026 average inflation at 4.4%, with the OECD at 4.2%, reflecting upside risks from administered prices and global oil volatility following earlier geopolitical pressures. At the same time, the revised 3% target with a ±1 percentage point band and moderating core readings support expectations for convergence toward lower outcomes. With Polymarket’s leading bins—2.9-3.2% and 4.1-4.4%—nearly tied, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether near-term energy shocks will persist through year-end or dissipate amid subdued growth and contained services inflation.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Mercado abierto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volumen
$21,426Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation jumping to 4.0% from 3.1% the prior month, driven by sharp fuel and electricity tariff increases, while food prices continued easing. The South African Reserve Bank’s May forecast projects 2026 average inflation at 4.4%, with the OECD at 4.2%, reflecting upside risks from administered prices and global oil volatility following earlier geopolitical pressures. At the same time, the revised 3% target with a ±1 percentage point band and moderating core readings support expectations for convergence toward lower outcomes. With Polymarket’s leading bins—2.9-3.2% and 4.1-4.4%—nearly tied, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether near-term energy shocks will persist through year-end or dissipate amid subdued growth and contained services inflation.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volumen
$21,426Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation jumping to 4.0% from 3.1% the prior month, driven by sharp fuel and electricity tariff increases, while food prices continued easing. The South African Reserve Bank’s May forecast projects 2026 average inflation at 4.4%, with the OECD at 4.2%, reflecting upside risks from administered prices and global oil volatility following earlier geopolitical pressures. At the same time, the revised 3% target with a ±1 percentage point band and moderating core readings support expectations for convergence toward lower outcomes. With Polymarket’s leading bins—2.9-3.2% and 4.1-4.4%—nearly tied, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether near-term energy shocks will persist through year-end or dissipate amid subdued growth and contained services inflation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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