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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

icon for Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 38.8%

Marco Rubio 20.6%

Tucker Carlson 6.2%

Donald Trump Jr. 2.6%

Polymarket

$598,260,372 Vol.

J.D. Vance 38.8%

Marco Rubio 20.6%

Tucker Carlson 6.2%

Donald Trump Jr. 2.6%

Polymarket

$598,260,372 Vol.

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$12,568,430 Vol.

39%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$8,395,939 Vol.

21%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$10,784,269 Vol.

6%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$7,587,621 Vol.

3%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$12,984,209 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$7,680,560 Vol.

2%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$14,532,097 Vol.

2%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$3,552,578 Vol.

2%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$6,618,198 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$11,794,699 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$13,974,571 Vol.

1%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$17,557,174 Vol.

1%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$5,615,686 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$6,616,397 Vol.

1%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$16,082,488 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$27,182,789 Vol.

1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$8,459,297 Vol.

1%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$24,571,496 Vol.

1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$6,584,861 Vol.

1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$18,651,967 Vol.

1%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$15,941,926 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$18,424,610 Vol.

1%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$32,489,461 Vol.

1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$26,581,388 Vol.

1%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$17,738,493 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$30,206,748 Vol.

1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$27,138,047 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$29,851,620 Vol.

1%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

$20,013,027 Vol.

1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$5,803,646 Vol.

1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$39,789,006 Vol.

1%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$15,285,637 Vol.

1%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$32,447,317 Vol.

1%

icon for Joe Kent

Joe Kent

$5,171,278 Vol.

1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$39,585,785 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, propelled by his standout HHS Secretary tenure, including February regulatory victories challenging Big Pharma influence and viral congressional testimonies exposing industry ties, which have broadened GOP appeal to health freedom and MAHA voters. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 38.8%, leveraging incumbency as Trump's heir apparent and implicit endorsement, though recent emphasis on 2026 midterm turnout and foreign policy navigation amid Iran tensions tempers momentum. Marco Rubio's 20.8% reflects strong Secretary of State performance in diplomacy. High $596M volume underscores intense post-Trump succession betting ahead of primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$598,260,372
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, propelled by his standout HHS Secretary tenure, including February regulatory victories challenging Big Pharma influence and viral congressional testimonies exposing industry ties, which have broadened GOP appeal to health freedom and MAHA voters. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 38.8%, leveraging incumbency as Trump's heir apparent and implicit endorsement, though recent emphasis on 2026 midterm turnout and foreign policy navigation amid Iran tensions tempers momentum. Marco Rubio's 20.8% reflects strong Secretary of State performance in diplomacy. High $596M volume underscores intense post-Trump succession betting ahead of primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$598,260,372
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "J.D. Vance" con 39%, seguido de "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" ha generado $598.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es "J.D. Vance" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.