Recent polling has narrowed the Ohio special Senate race into a toss-up, with a late May Fox News survey showing Sherrod Brown at 53% and Jon Husted at 45%, shifting trader consensus toward the Democrat. Brown’s strong first-quarter fundraising and high name recognition among working-class and suburban voters have helped offset Ohio’s Republican tilt, while Husted benefits from incumbency and Trump-era alignment in a state the president carried three times. Mixed earlier surveys, including April leads for Husted, underscore the contest’s sensitivity to turnout and economic messaging ahead of the November 3 vote. This volatility keeps implied probabilities fluid in the prediction market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Ohio
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Ohio
$89,142 Vol.
$89,142 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
55%
Jon Husted (R)
43%
$89,142 Vol.
$89,142 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
$51,447 Vol.
55%
Jon Husted (R)
$37,695 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling has narrowed the Ohio special Senate race into a toss-up, with a late May Fox News survey showing Sherrod Brown at 53% and Jon Husted at 45%, shifting trader consensus toward the Democrat. Brown’s strong first-quarter fundraising and high name recognition among working-class and suburban voters have helped offset Ohio’s Republican tilt, while Husted benefits from incumbency and Trump-era alignment in a state the president carried three times. Mixed earlier surveys, including April leads for Husted, underscore the contest’s sensitivity to turnout and economic messaging ahead of the November 3 vote. This volatility keeps implied probabilities fluid in the prediction market.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volumen
$89,142Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling has narrowed the Ohio special Senate race into a toss-up, with a late May Fox News survey showing Sherrod Brown at 53% and Jon Husted at 45%, shifting trader consensus toward the Democrat. Brown’s strong first-quarter fundraising and high name recognition among working-class and suburban voters have helped offset Ohio’s Republican tilt, while Husted benefits from incumbency and Trump-era alignment in a state the president carried three times. Mixed earlier surveys, including April leads for Husted, underscore the contest’s sensitivity to turnout and economic messaging ahead of the November 3 vote. This volatility keeps implied probabilities fluid in the prediction market.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$89,142Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling has narrowed the Ohio special Senate race into a toss-up, with a late May Fox News survey showing Sherrod Brown at 53% and Jon Husted at 45%, shifting trader consensus toward the Democrat. Brown’s strong first-quarter fundraising and high name recognition among working-class and suburban voters have helped offset Ohio’s Republican tilt, while Husted benefits from incumbency and Trump-era alignment in a state the president carried three times. Mixed earlier surveys, including April leads for Husted, underscore the contest’s sensitivity to turnout and economic messaging ahead of the November 3 vote. This volatility keeps implied probabilities fluid in the prediction market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes