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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08

Hakeem Jeffries 96%

Vance Bostic 3.3%

Chi Ossé 3.1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Hakeem Jeffries 96%

Vance Bostic 3.3%

Chi Ossé 3.1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$4,920 Vol.

96%

icon for Vance Bostic

Vance Bostic

$605 Vol.

3%

icon for Chi Ossé

Chi Ossé

$317 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability to win the NY-08 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising, and entrenched support in the safely Democratic Brooklyn-Queens district. Challengers Vance Bostic, a hospitality manager running a grassroots campaign, and NYC Councilmember Chi Ossé, a progressive who filed paperwork in November 2025 but trails significantly, have shown no recent momentum to erode Jeffries' position, as confirmed by a private October 2025 poll giving him a 50-point lead over Ossé. Absent a major scandal, high progressive turnout, or late-breaking endorsement shift in the closed primary, structural barriers like petition deadlines and historical incumbent re-election rates above 95% in similar races reinforce the frontrunner's edge.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$5,842
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability to win the NY-08 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising, and entrenched support in the safely Democratic Brooklyn-Queens district. Challengers Vance Bostic, a hospitality manager running a grassroots campaign, and NYC Councilmember Chi Ossé, a progressive who filed paperwork in November 2025 but trails significantly, have shown no recent momentum to erode Jeffries' position, as confirmed by a private October 2025 poll giving him a 50-point lead over Ossé. Absent a major scandal, high progressive turnout, or late-breaking endorsement shift in the closed primary, structural barriers like petition deadlines and historical incumbent re-election rates above 95% in similar races reinforce the frontrunner's edge.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$5,842
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Hakeem Jeffries" con 96%, seguido de "Vance Bostic" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 11, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08" es "Hakeem Jeffries" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Vance Bostic" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-08" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.