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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York

Bruce Blakeman 89%

Pat Hahn 6.2%

David Tulley 4.3%

Elise Stefanik <1%

Polymarket

$89,777 Vol.

Bruce Blakeman 89%

Pat Hahn 6.2%

David Tulley 4.3%

Elise Stefanik <1%

Polymarket

$89,777 Vol.

Bruce Blakeman

$12,304 Vol.

89%

Pat Hahn

$2,849 Vol.

6%

David Tulley

$41,081 Vol.

4%

Elise Stefanik

$11,657 Vol.

1%

Betsy McCaughey

$21,886 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bruce Blakeman's 88.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the June 23 Republican primary stems from his prominence as Nassau County Executive, superior name recognition, and party consolidation following U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik's December 2025 withdrawal from the race. Recent Siena College polls through early April show Blakeman narrowing Gov. Kathy Hochul's general election lead to 13 points, bolstering perceptions of his viability and drawing endorsements from GOP figures. Longshots Pat Hahn, a retired state worker, and David Tulley, a cannabis shop owner with ongoing legal judgments, lack polling or organizational momentum, while Betsy McCaughey focuses on Connecticut's gubernatorial contest. Low-turnout primaries historically favor incumbents and establishment candidates like Blakeman, though a late scandal or high-profile endorsement could alter odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$89,777
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bruce Blakeman's 88.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the June 23 Republican primary stems from his prominence as Nassau County Executive, superior name recognition, and party consolidation following U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik's December 2025 withdrawal from the race. Recent Siena College polls through early April show Blakeman narrowing Gov. Kathy Hochul's general election lead to 13 points, bolstering perceptions of his viability and drawing endorsements from GOP figures. Longshots Pat Hahn, a retired state worker, and David Tulley, a cannabis shop owner with ongoing legal judgments, lack polling or organizational momentum, while Betsy McCaughey focuses on Connecticut's gubernatorial contest. Low-turnout primaries historically favor incumbents and establishment candidates like Blakeman, though a late scandal or high-profile endorsement could alter odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$89,777
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Bruce Blakeman" con 89%, seguido de "Pat Hahn" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 89¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" ha generado $89.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" es "Bruce Blakeman" con 89%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Pat Hahn" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.