Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear polling edge in early surveys for the November 2026 general election, reflecting standard advantages for sitting governors seeking a second term in New Hampshire's two-year cycle. Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington, a former Executive Councilor, trails in head-to-head matchups, while independent Jonathan Kiper draws limited support. Recent primary filings closed in mid-June with no major shifts in candidate fields or endorsements altering the race trajectory. Trader pricing at 66% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical re-election rates for New Hampshire incumbents, though September primaries and fall campaign developments could still influence general-election margins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Republicano
67%

Demócrata
25%

Republicano
67%

Demócrata
25%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear polling edge in early surveys for the November 2026 general election, reflecting standard advantages for sitting governors seeking a second term in New Hampshire's two-year cycle. Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington, a former Executive Councilor, trails in head-to-head matchups, while independent Jonathan Kiper draws limited support. Recent primary filings closed in mid-June with no major shifts in candidate fields or endorsements altering the race trajectory. Trader pricing at 66% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical re-election rates for New Hampshire incumbents, though September primaries and fall campaign developments could still influence general-election margins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes