Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains strong leads in recent polling for the Massachusetts Senate race, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 94.5% ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. A University of New Hampshire survey from April 16-20 showed Markey ahead of primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton 46%-33% and crushing presumptive Republican nominee John Deaton 55%-32% in a general matchup, echoing earlier polls with 20-30 point Democratic margins. Massachusetts' deep-blue history—no Republican Senate win since 2010—and Markey's incumbency advantage underpin this positioning, despite his age of 80. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, Markey health issues, or scandals, though structural barriers favor the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
$12,721 Vol.
$12,721 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
95%
Republicano
4%
$12,721 Vol.
$12,721 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$8,118 Vol.
95%
Republicano
$4,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains strong leads in recent polling for the Massachusetts Senate race, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 94.5% ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. A University of New Hampshire survey from April 16-20 showed Markey ahead of primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton 46%-33% and crushing presumptive Republican nominee John Deaton 55%-32% in a general matchup, echoing earlier polls with 20-30 point Democratic margins. Massachusetts' deep-blue history—no Republican Senate win since 2010—and Markey's incumbency advantage underpin this positioning, despite his age of 80. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, Markey health issues, or scandals, though structural barriers favor the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$12,721Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains strong leads in recent polling for the Massachusetts Senate race, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 94.5% ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. A University of New Hampshire survey from April 16-20 showed Markey ahead of primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton 46%-33% and crushing presumptive Republican nominee John Deaton 55%-32% in a general matchup, echoing earlier polls with 20-30 point Democratic margins. Massachusetts' deep-blue history—no Republican Senate win since 2010—and Markey's incumbency advantage underpin this positioning, despite his age of 80. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, Markey health issues, or scandals, though structural barriers favor the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$12,721Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey maintains strong leads in recent polling for the Massachusetts Senate race, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 94.5% ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. A University of New Hampshire survey from April 16-20 showed Markey ahead of primary challenger Rep. Seth Moulton 46%-33% and crushing presumptive Republican nominee John Deaton 55%-32% in a general matchup, echoing earlier polls with 20-30 point Democratic margins. Massachusetts' deep-blue history—no Republican Senate win since 2010—and Markey's incumbency advantage underpin this positioning, despite his age of 80. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, Markey health issues, or scandals, though structural barriers favor the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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